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Unit 1: Statistics




          2.   Planning of production:  After a business is launched, the businessman has to plan its  Notes
               production so that he is able to meet the demand of its product and incurs minimum losses
               on account of over or under production. For this he has to estimate the pattern of demand
               of the product by conducting various market surveys. Based upon these surveys, he might
               also forecast the demand of the product at various points of time in future. In addition to
               this, the businessman has to conduct market surveys of various resources that will be used
               in the production of the given output. This may help him in the organisation of production
               with minimum costs.
          3.   Inventory control: Sometimes, depending upon the fluctuations in demand and supply
               conditions, it may not be possible to keep production in pace with demand of the product.
               There may be a situation of no demand resulting in over production and consequently the
               firm might have to discontinue production for some time. On the other hand, there may
               be a sudden rise in the demand of the product so that the firm is able to meet only a part
               of the total demand. Under such situations the firm may decide to have an inventory of the
               product for the smooth running of its business. The optimum limits of inventory, i.e., the
               minimum and maximum amount of stock to be kept, can  be decided  by the statistical
               analysis of the fluctuations in demand and supply of the product.

          4.   Quality control: Statistical techniques can also be used to control the quality of the product
               manufactured by a firm. This consists of the preparation of control charts by means of the
               specification of an average quality. A control chart shows two limits, the lower control
               limit and the upper control limit for variation in the quality of the product. The samples
               of output, being produced, are taken at regular intervals and their quality is measured. If
               the quality falls outside the control limits, steps are taken to rectify the manufacturing
               process.
          5.   Accounts writing and auditing:  Every business firm keeps accounts of its revenue and
               expenditure. All activities of a firm, whether big or small, are reflected by these accounts.
               Whenever certain decisions are to be taken or it is desired to assess the performance of the
               firm or of its particular section or sections, these accounts are required to be summarised
               in a statistical way. This may consist of the calculation of typical measures like average
               production per unit of labour, average production per hour, average rate of return on
               investment, etc. Statistical methods may also be  helpful in generalising relationships
               between two or more of such variables.

               Further, while auditing the accounts of a big business, it may not be possible to examine
               each and every transaction. Statistics provides sampling techniques to audit the accounts
               of a business firm. This can save a lot of time and money.
          6.   Banks and Insurance companies: Banks use statistical techniques to take decisions regarding
               the  average amount of cash needed each day to meet the requirements of  day to day
               transactions. Furthermore, various policies of investment and sanction of loans are also
               based on the analysis provided by statistics.

          The business of insurance is based on the studies of life  expectancy in  various age groups.
          Depending upon these studies, mortality tables are constructed and accordingly the rates of
          premium to be charged by  an insurance company are decided. All this involves  the use of
          statistical principles and methods.



             Did u know?  The science of statistics received contributions from notable economists such
             as Augustin Cournot (1801 - 1877), Leon Walras (1834 - 1910), Vilfredo Pareto (1848 - 1923),
             Alfred Marshall (1842 - 1924), Edgeworth, A.L. Bowley,  etc. They gave an applied form to
             the subject.




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