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Unit 1: Statistics




               comparing national income of various years, one can know whether performance of the  Notes
               country is improving or not. Further, by comparing national income of different countries,
               one can know its relative position vis-a-vis other countries.
          3.   Statistical results are true only on the average: Statistical results give the behaviour of the
               group on the average and these may not hold for an individual of that very group. Thus,
               the statement that average wages of workers of a certain factory is   1,500 p.m. does not
               necessarily mean that each worker is getting this wage. In fact, some of the workers may
               be getting more while others less than or  equal to   1,500. Further, when value of  a
               variable is estimated by using some explanatory variable, the estimated value represents
               the value on the average for a particular value of the explanatory variable. In a similar
               way, all the laws of statistics are true only on the average.

          4.   Statistical results are only approximately true: Most of the statistical studies are based on
               a sample taken from the population. Under certain circumstances the estimated data are
               also used.
               Therefore, conclusions about a population based on such information are bound to be true
               only approximately. Further, if more observations are collected with a view to improve
               the accuracy of the results, these efforts are often offset by the errors of observation. In the
               words of  Bowley, “When  observations are  extended, many sources of inaccuracy are
               found to be present, and it is very frequently impossible to remove them completely.
               Statistical results are, therefore, very general estimates rather than exact statements.”
               Thus, whether statistical results are based on sample or census data, are bound to be true
               only approximately.

          5.   Statistical methods constitute only one set  of methods to study  a problem:  A given
               problem can often be studied in many ways. Statistical methods are used to simplify the
               mass of data and obtain quantitative results by its  analysis. However, one should not
               depend entirely on statistical results. These results must invariably be supplemented by
               the results of alternative methods of analysing the problem. It should be kept in mind that
               statistics is only a means and not an end. According to D. Gregory and H. Ward, “Statistics
               cannot  run a business or a government.  Nor can  the study  of statistics do more than
               provide a few suggestions or offer a few pointers as to firm’s or government’s future
               behaviour.”
          6.   Statistics are liable to be misused: Statistical data are likely to be misused to draw any type
               of conclusion. If the attitude of the investigator is biased towards a particular aspect of the
               problem, he is likely to collect only such data which give more importance to that aspect.
               The conclusions drawn on the basis of such information  are bound to be  misleading.
               Suppose, for example, the attitude of the Government is biased and it wants to compute a
               price index which should  show a smaller rise of prices than the actual one. In such a
               situation, the Government might use only those price quotations that are obtained from
               markets having lower prices.

          7.   Statistics must be used only by experts: Statistics, being a technical subject, is very difficult
               for a common man to understand. Only the experts of statistics can use it correctly and
               derive right conclusions from the analysis. In the words of Yule and Kendall,  “Statistical
               methods are the most dangerous tools in the hands of inexperts.” Hence, this is the most
               important limitation of statistics.











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