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Quantitative Techniques – I




                    Notes

                                     Notes       Origin and Growth of Statistics

                                     Statistics, as a subject, has a very long history. The origin of STATISTICS is indicated by the
                                     word itself which seems to have been derived either from the Latin word ‘STATUS’ or
                                     from the Italian word ‘STATISTA’ or may be from the German word ‘STATISTIK.’ The
                                     meaning of all these words is ‘political  state’. Every  State administration  in the  past
                                     collected and analysed data. The data regarding population gave an idea about the possible
                                     military strength and the data regarding material wealth of a country gave an idea about
                                     the possible source of finance to the State. Similarly, data were collected for other purposes
                                     also. On examining the historical records of various ancient countries, one might find that
                                     almost all the countries had a system of collection of data. In ancient Egypt, the data on
                                     population and material wealth of the country were collected as early as 3050 B.C., for the
                                     construction of pyramids. Census was conducted in Jidda in 2030 B.C. and the population
                                     was estimated to be 38,00,000. The first census of Rome was done as early as 435 B.C. After
                                     the 15th century the work of publishing the statistical data was also started but the first
                                     analysis of data on scientific basis was done by Captain John Graunt in the 17th century.
                                     His first work on social statistics, ‘Observation on London Bills of Mortality’ was published
                                     in 1662. During the same period the  gamblers of western countries had started  using
                                     statistics, because they wanted to know the more precise estimates of odds at the gambling
                                     table. This led to the development of the ‘Theory of Probability’.
                                     Ancient India also had the tradition of collection of statistical data. In ancient works, such
                                     as Manusmriti, Shukraniti, etc., we find evidences of collection of data for the purpose of
                                     running the affairs of the State where population, military force and other resources have
                                     been expressed in the form of figures. The fact and figures of the Chandragupta Mauraya’s
                                     regime are described in ‘Kautilya’s Arthashastra’. Statistics were also in use during the
                                     Mughal period. The data were collected regarding population, military strength, revenue,
                                     land revenue, measurements of land,  etc. During the British period too, statistics were
                                     used in various areas of activities.
                                     Although the tradition of collection of data and its use for various purposes is very old, the
                                     development of modern statistics as a subject is of recent origin. The development of the
                                     subject took  place mainly  after sixteenth century.  The notable mathematicians  who
                                     contributed to the development of statistics are Galileo, Pascal, De-Mere, Farment  and
                                     Cardeno of the 17th century. Then in later years the subject was developed by Abraham De
                                     Moivre (1667 - 1754), Marquis De Laplace (1749 - 1827), Karl Friedrich Gauss (1777 - 1855),
                                     Adolphe Quetelet (1796 - 1874), Francis Galton (1822 - 1911), etc. Karl Pearson (1857 - 1937),
                                     who is regarded as the father of modern statistics, was greatly motivated by the researches
                                     of Galton and was the first person to be appointed as Galton Professor in the University of
                                     London. William S. Gosset (1876 - 1937), a student of Karl Pearson, propounded a number
                                     of statistical formulae under the pen-name of ‘Student’.

                                   Self Assessment

                                   Fill in the blanks:

                                   16.  Statistics is used to present the .................... facts in a form that is easily understandable by
                                       human mind and to make comparisons, derive valid conclusions, etc.
                                   17.  The first function of statistics is .................................

                                   18.  Statistics presents ............................ facts in a ....................... form.




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