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Macroeconomic Theory




                     Notes            Lipsey and Steiner also believe that expansion of credit is not automatic. It depends on decisions of
                                      banks. If banks do not use the increase in cash reserve fund, expansion of credit may not happen.

                                      17.8   Money Supply in India

                                      Since 1977, RBI in india is using four monetary aggregate measures which are M , M , M , M . M  is
                                                                                                            3
                                                                                                               4
                                                                                                      1
                                                                                                         2
                                                                                                                   1
                                      a narrow measure while M  is a detailed measure of money supply. Since the first five year plan till
                                                           3
                                      today, there is a rapid increase in both M  and M . In currency component and bank deposit components
                                                                    1
                                                                          2
                                      of money supply, in both there has been a rapid increase. In the initial years of the plan, increase in
                                      currency component was more that deposit component. But at present time, in comparison to currency
                                      component, increase in demand deposit component is much faster; its main reason is extensive increase
                                      in banking services. Table 17.2 shows increase in M  and M  aggregates of money supply.
                                                                              1      3
                                                                   Table 17.2 Money Supply
                                                                         (M  and M )
                                                                           1     2
                                                 Year (1)                M (2)                    M (3)
                                                                           1                        3
                                                 1970-71                 7,321                   10,958
                                                 1980-81                23,117                   55,358
                                                 1990-91                92,892                  2,65,828
                                                 2000-02               4,22,843                14,98,355
                                                 2004-05               6,46,263                22,33,164
                                                 2005-06               8,26,375                27,29,545
                                                 2006-07               7,65,195                33,10, 278
                                      (Source : RBI Bulletin 2006, Statistical Outline of India, 2007-08)
                                      From table 17.2 it is clear that from 1970-71 to 2006-07, increase in M  and M  happened with a rapid
                                                                                            1
                                                                                                  3
                                      speed. Rapid increase of M  (approximate 302 times) happened due to increase in time deposits.
                                                            3
                                      Extensive increase of M  happened due to increase in demand deposits.
                                                        1
                                      Knowledge of Supply of money in India during various plan periods, national income and percentage
                                      increase in price levels can be obtained through table 17.3:
                                                     Percentage Growth Rate in Money Supply, National Income
                                                                        and Price Level

                                                                                                         Growth Rate
                                                        Growth Rate in Money     Growth Rate in National
                                          Period                                                           in Price-
                                                             Supply (M )                Income
                                                                      3                                     Level
                                       First Plan
                                                                                                             -3.6
                                       Second Plan               2.2                      3.7                +6.3
                                                                 5.3
                                                                                          4.1
                                       Third Plan                9.1                      2.4                +5.8
                                       Fourth Plan
                                       Fifth Plan               15.5                      3.3                +9.0
                                                                17.9
                                                                                                             +6.3
                                                                                          5.0
                                       Sixth Plan               16.7                      5.4                +9.7
                                       Seventh Plan             17.5                      5.7                +6.7
                                       Eighth Plan              13.8                      5.8                +6.6
                                       Ninth Plan               14.2                      5.6                +3.9
                                       Tenth Plan               16.4                      8.7                +5.2
                                       (2002-03)
                                      (Source: Statistical Outline of India, 2007-08)




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