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Unit 22: Sectoral Performance III - Foreign Trade and Balance of Payments



                         Table 1 : Expansion of India’s Foreign Trade after 1869                  Notes
                                                                    (Rupees in crore)
                  Period              Exports (annual average)  Imports (annual average)

             1864–65 to 1868–69               55.86                     31.70
             1894–95 to 1898–99              107.53                     73.67
             1924–25 to 1928–29              353.51                    251.02
        Source : Dhires Bhattacharya, A Concise History of the Indian Economy 1750-1950 (1979), Prentice-Hall
        of India, New Delhi.
        During the British regime, the international trade policy of India had a clear and perceptible orientation.
        This was to promote exports of raw materials from mining and agronomy to the mills and
        manufactories in Great Britain, and the import of their finished products like cotton textiles (nearly
        half of total exports) and engineering goods in to the vast Indian colony. To this end, the Government
        of both the UK and India continually adjusted all economic machineries like export and import tariffs,
        customs and excise duties and protection and liberalization.

        Post Independence Thrusts
        A profile of our international trade is indicated in Table 2
                               Table 2 : Foreign Trade : Balance of Trade
                                                                             (`` `` ` in crore)
          Year             Exports       Imports   Total value of trade  Balance of trade

          1950–1951           606            608          1,214                –2
          1960–1961           642          1,122          1,764              –480
          1970–1971          1,535         1,634          3,169                –9
          1980–1981          6,711        12,549         19,260              –838
          1990–1991         32,553        43,198         75,751            –10,645
          1997–1998        1,30,100      1,54,176      2,84,276            –24,076
          1998–1999        1,39,752      1,78,332      3,18,084            –38,580
          1999–2000        1,59,561      2,15,236      3,74,797            –55,675
          2000–2001        2,03,571      2,30,873      4,34,444            –27,302
          2001–2002        2,09,018      2,45,200      4,54,218            –36,182
          2002–2003        2,55,137      2,97,206      5,52,343            –42,067
          2003–2004        2,93,367      3,59,108      6,52,475            –65,741
        Source : Economic Survey 2004–05.
        Table 2 shows interesting ups and downs in total value of trade. While it had shot up in 1990–91, we have
        not looked back—the figures rising from ` 75,751 crore in 1990–91 to ` 652,475 crore in 2003–04. While this
        looks okay on a graph, in actual fact the figure should have quadrupled by now if we had taken care of the
        contents of our export basket and if the growth of the GDP would have been around 10%.
        It will be interesting to enumerate some of the broad features of the growth curve in our international
        trade:
        Imports

        This shows a galloping rise during the last four decades, as indicated in Table 22.3. The rise has not
        only been galloping from year to year and from decade to decade, there has also been wide and



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