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Statistical Methods in Economics


                   Notes
                                                                   3,600  3,530  3,365 3,400
                                                                              ×
                                                        P × P 10 =   3,400 ×  3,365 3,530 ×  3,600   =  1  = 1.
                                                         01
                                              Hence time reversal test is satisfied by the above formula.
                                  Example 3:  From the following data calculate Fisher’s ideal index and prove that it satisfies both
                                              the time reversal and factor reversal tests.
                                      Commodity                  2004                           2005
                                                         Price           Qty.           Price          Qty.

                                          A               4               8              5              8
                                          B               5              10              6              12
                                          C               3               6              4              7
                                          D               8               5              10             4

                                  Solution:
                                                           Calculation of Fishers's Ideal Index
                                    Commodity     p 0      q 0     p 1     q 1    p q     p q     p q     p q
                                                                                                   11
                                                                                                           01
                                                                                   10
                                                                                           00
                                        A         4        8       5       8       40      32      40      32
                                        B         5        10      6       12      60      50      72      60
                                        C         3        6       4       7       24      18      28      21
                                        D         8        5       10      4       50      40      40      32
                                                                                 ∑ pq    ∑ pq     ∑ pq    ∑ pq
                                                                                                            01
                                                                                    10
                                                                                            00
                                                                                                    11
                                                                                  = 174   = 140   = 180   = 145
                                                                        ∑  pq  ∑  pq
                                                                                  1 1
                                                                           10
                                              Fisher’s Ideal Index, i.e.,  P  =   ∑  pq  ×  ∑  p q  ×  100
                                                                   01
                                                                           00
                                                                                  0 1
                                                          ∑ pq  = 174,  ∑ pq  = 140,  ∑ pq  = 180,  ∑  pq  = 145
                                                                                              01
                                                             10
                                                                                   11
                                                                        00
                                              Substituting the values:
                                                                   174  180
                                                             P 01 =   140  ×  145  ×  100  = 1.2429 × 100 = 124.29
                                                Time Reversal Test
                                              Time Reversal Test is satisfied if  P ×  P  = 1
                                                                         01
                                                                             10
                                                                   ∑  p q  ∑  p q  145 140
                                                                      01
                                                                            0 0
                                                            P 10 =   ∑  p q  ×  ∑  p q   =   180  ×  174
                                                                            1 0
                                                                      11
                                                                   174  180  145 140
                                                                               ×
                                                                           ×
                                                        P × P 10  =   140  ×  145 180 174   =  1  = 1.
                                                         01
                                              Hence Time Reversal Test is satisfied.





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