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Statistical Methods in Economics


                   Notes          •   No statistic can be guaranteed to provide a close value of the parameter on each and every occasion,
                                      and for every sample. Therefore, one has to be content with formulating a rule/method which
                                      provides good results in the long run or which has a high probability of success.
                                  •   Incidentally, while the method or rule of estimation is called an estimator like sample mean,
                                      the value which the method or rule gives in a particular case is called an estimate.
                                                  ˆ
                                  •   An estimator  θ  is said be unbiased estimator of the population parameter  θ  if the mean of the
                                                                    ˆ
                                      sampling distribution of the estimator  θ  is equal to the corresponding population parameter  θ .
                                  •   An estimator is said to be consistent if the estimator approaches the population parameter as
                                                                                   ˆ
                                      the sample size increases. In other words, an estimator  θ  is said to be consistent estimator of
                                                                                 ˆ
                                      the population parameter  θ , if the probability  that  θ  approaches  θ  is 1 an n becomes large
                                      and larger.
                                  •   Efficiency is a relative term. Efficiency of an estimator is generally defined by comparing it
                                                                                                              ˆ
                                                                                               ˆ
                                                                                         ˆ
                                      with another estimator. Let us to take two unbiased estimators θ  and θ . The estimator θ  is
                                                                                               2
                                                                                         1
                                                                                                              1
                                                                                ˆ
                                                                                                        ˆ
                                      called an efficient estimator of  θ  if the variance of θ  is less than the variance of θ .
                                                                                                        2
                                                                                1
                                                                                                         ˆ
                                  •   The last property that a good estimator should possess is sufficiency. An estimator  θ  is said to
                                      be a ‘sufficient estimator’ of a parameter  θ  if it contains all the informations in the sample
                                      regarding the parameter. In other words, a sufficient estimator utilises all informations that the
                                      given sample can furnish about the population. Sample means   X   is said to be a sufficient
                                      estimator of the population mean.
                                  28.5 Key-Words
                                  1. Deviation scores  :  Data in which the mean has been subtracted from each observation.
                                  2. Descriptive statistics  :  Statistics which describe the sample data without drawing inferences
                                                          about the larger population.
                                  28.6 Review Questions

                                  1. What is Estimation ? How many types of estimates are possible ?
                                  2. Explain the properties of a good estimator ?
                                  3. What do you understand by point estimator ?
                                  4. Discuss the application of point estimation.
                                  5. Distinguish between consistency and efficiency.
                                  Answers: Self-Assessment
                                  1.  (i) Point estimate, interval estimate (ii) Mean  (iii) Population

                                     (iv) Parameter                 (v) θ .
                                  28.7 Further Readings




                                              1.  Elementary Statistical Methods; SP. Gupta, Sultan Chand & Sons,
                                                  New Delhi - 110002.
                                              2.  Statistical Methods — An Introductory Text; Jyoti Prasad Medhi, New Age
                                                  International Publishers, New Delhi - 110002.
                                              3.  Statistics; E. Narayanan Nadar, PHI Learning Private Limied, New Delhi - 110012.
                                              4.  Quantitative Methods—Theory and Applications; J.K. Sharma, Macmillan
                                                  Publishers India Ltd., New Delhi - 110002.




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