Page 384 - DECO504_STATISTICAL_METHODS_IN_ECONOMICS_ENGLISH
P. 384

Unit 30: Types of Hypothesis: Null and Alternative, Types of Errors in Testing Hypothesis and Level of Significance
     Dilfraz Singh, LPU

            Unit 30: Types of Hypothesis: Null and Alternative,  Types of                            Notes

                Errors in Testing Hypothesis and Level of  Significance




             CONTENTS
             Objectives
             Introduction
             30.1 Null and Alternative Hypothesis
             30.2 Types of Errors in Testing Hypothesis
             30.3 The Level of Significance
             30.4 Summary
             30.5 Key-Words
             30.6 Review Questions
             30.7 Further Readings

            Objectives

            After reading this unit students will be able to:
            •   Explain Null and Alternative Hypothesis.
            •   Know the Types of Errors in Testing Hypothesis.
            •   Discuss the Level of Significance.
            Introduction

            In unit 29 we showed how a sample could be used to develop point and interval estimates of population
            parameters. In this unit we continue the discussion of statistical inference by showing how hypothesis
            testing can be used to determine whether a statement about the value of a population parameter
            should or should not be rejected.
            In hypothesis testing we begin by making a tentative assumption about a population parameter. This
            tentative assumption is called the null hypothesis and is denoted by H . We then define another
                                                                      0
            hypothesis, called the alternative hypothesis, which is the opposite of what is stated in the null
            hypothesis. We denote the alternative hypothesis by H . The hypothesis testing procedure uses data
                                                       1
            from a sample to assess the two competing statements indicated by H  and H .
                                                                   0     1
            This unit shows how hypothesis tests can be conducted about a population mean and a population
            proportion. We begin by providing examples of approaches to formulating null and alternative
            hypotheses.
            30.1 Null and Alternative Hypothesis

            (a)  Null Hypothesis: The null hypothesis asserts that there is no real difference in the sample and
                the population in the particular matter under consideration and that the difference found is
                accidental and unimportant arising out of fluctuations of sampling. The null hypothesis
                constitutes a challenge and the function of the experiment is to give the facts a chance to refute
                or fail to refute this challenge.
                For example, if we want to find out whether the new vaccine has benefited the people or not,
                the null hypothesis, shall be set up saying that “the new vaccine has not benefited the people”.
                The rejection of the null hypothesis indicates that the differences have statistical significance
                and the acceptance of the null hypothesis indicate that the differences are due to chance.



                                             LOVELY PROFESSIONAL UNIVERSITY                                      379
   379   380   381   382   383   384   385   386   387   388   389