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Unit 23: Regression Analysis



                 å(Y  – Y )Y   = å[(Y  –  Y ) –b(X  –  X )][ Y  + b(X  –  X )]                    Notes
                 i  ci  ci    i        i            i
                           =  Y å(Y  –  Y ) – bY å(X  –  X ) + bå(X  –  X )(Y  –  Y ) – b å(X  –  X ) 2
                                                                       2
                                i            i          i      i           i
                                             2
                                          2
                                 2
                           = 0 – 0 + b å(X  –  X )  – b å(X  –  X )  = 0
                                                      2
                                     i           i
            23.5.1 Standard Error of the Estimate
            The standard  error of  the estimate of regression is given by the positive square  root of the
            variance of e  values.
                      i
            The standard error of the estimate of regression of Y on X or simply the standard error of the
            estimate of Y is given as,  S Y X  =  s Y  1-  r 2  .
                                   .

            Similarly,  S  =  s  1-  r 2   is the standard error of the estimate X.
                     X Y   X
                      .
            According to the theory of estimation, to be discussed in Chapter 21, an unbiased estimate of the
            variance of e  values is given by
                      i
                             å e i 2  n  å  e 2 i  n  2    2
                        2
                        s  =      =     ×    =      s ×  ( 1-  r  )
                         .
                        Y X                           Y
                             n 2    n 2   n    n 2
                                                 -
                               -
                                     -
             The standard errors of the estimate of Y and that of X are written as
                                   n       2                  n       2
                        s Y X  =  s Y  ( 1-  r  )   and   s X Y  =  s X  ( 1-  r  )   respectively.
                                                    .
                         .
                                 (n 2-  )                   (n 2-  )
                   Example 15:
            From the following data, compute (i) the coefficient of correlation between X and Y,  (ii) the
            standard error of the estimate of Y :
                     2
                               2
                                                                              -
                                                                  -

                  å  x =  24 å y =  42 å xy =  30  N =  10, where  x =  X X and  y =  Y Y .
            Solution.
            The coefficient of correlation between X and Y is given by
                              å  xy        30
                       r =            =         =  0.94
                            å  x 2  å y 2  24 42

            The standard error of the estimate of Y is given by (n < 30)

                               ( 1- r 2  )å  y 2  ( 1 0.94-  2  ) 42´
                        s Y X  =          =               =  0.79
                         .
                                  n 2             8
                                   -

                   Example 16: For 100 items, it is given that the regression equations of Y on X and X on Y
            are 8X – 10Y + 66 = 0 and 40X – 18Y = 214 respectively. Compute the arithmetic means of X and
            Y and the coefficient of determination. If the standard deviation of X is given to be 3, compute
            the standard error of the estimate of Y.





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