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Statistics



                      Notes         2.   It will be discussed in the following chapter that when expected value of a statistic equals
                                         the value of parameter, it is said to be an unbiased estimate of the parameter.
                                    Problem 1
                                    The Acme Battery Company has developed a new cell phone battery. On average, the battery
                                    lasts 60 minutes on a single charge. The standard deviation is 4 minutes.
                                    Suppose the manufacturing department runs a quality control test. They  randomly select  7
                                    batteries. The standard deviation  of the  selected batteries is 6 minutes. What would be the
                                    chi-square statistic represented by this test?

                                    Solution
                                    We know the following:
                                        The standard deviation of the population is 4 minutes.
                                        The standard deviation of the sample is 6 minutes.

                                        The number of sample observations is 7.
                                    To compute the chi-square statistic, we plug these data in the chi-square equation, as shown
                                    below.
                                     2
                                                 2
                                    x  = [ ( n – 1 ) * s  ] / s 2
                                     2
                                                 2
                                    x  = [ ( 7 – 1 ) * 6  ] / 4  = 13.5
                                                     2
                                           2
                                    where x  is the chi-square statistic, n is the sample size, s is the standard deviation of the sample,
                                    and s is the standard deviation of the population.
                                    Problem 2
                                    Let’s revisit the problem presented above. The manufacturing department ran a quality control
                                    test, using 7 randomly selected batteries. In their test, the standard deviation was 6 minutes,
                                    which equated to a chi-square statistic of 13.5.
                                    Suppose they repeated the test with a new random sample of 7 batteries. What is the probability
                                    that the standard deviation in the new test would be greater than 6 minutes?
                                    Solution
                                    We know the following:

                                        The sample size n is equal to 7.
                                        The degrees of freedom are equal to n - 1 = 7 - 1 = 6.
                                        The chi-square statistic is equal to 13.5 (see Example 1 above).
                                    Given the degrees of freedom, we can determine the cumulative probability that the chi-square
                                    statistic will fall between 0 and any positive value. To find the cumulative probability that a
                                    chi-square statistic falls  between 0  and 13.5, insert the  values in  formula then result is the
                                    cumulative probability: 0.96.
                                    This tells us that the probability that a standard  deviation would be less than or equal to 6
                                    minutes is 0.96. This means (by the  subtraction rule) that the probability  that the standard
                                    deviation would be greater than 6 minutes is 1 – 0.96 or .04.










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