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Statistics



                      Notes                                                   n
                                                L = f(X ; ) . f(X  ; ) . ...... . f(X  ; ) =  Õ  ( f X  ; ) .
                                                     1      2          n           i
                                                                             i= 1
                                    We have to find that value of q for which L is maximum. The conditions for maxima of L are :
                                               2
                                     dL       d L
                                       =  0 and   < 0.  The value of q satisfying these conditions is known as Maximum Likelihood
                                     d       d 2
                                    Estimator (MLE).
                                    Generalising the above, if L is a function of k parameters  ,  , ......  , the first order conditions
                                                                                   1  2    k
                                                      ¶ L  ¶ L     ¶ L
                                    for maxima of L are:   =  =   ......   =  0 .
                                                      ¶  ¶       ¶
                                                        1   1        k
                                    This gives  k simultaneous equations in k unknowns   ,  , ......  ,  and can be  solved to get
                                                                                 1  2     k
                                    k  maximum likelihood estimators.
                                    Sometimes  it  is  convenient  to  work  using  logarithm  of  L.  Since  log  L  is  a  monotonic
                                    transformation of L, the maxima of L and maxima of log L occur at the same value.

                                    Properties of Maximum Likelihood Estimators

                                    1.   The maximum likelihood estimators are consistent.
                                    2.   The maximum likelihood estimators are not necessarily unbiased. If a maximum likelihood
                                         estimator is biased, then by slight modifications  it can be converted  into an unbiased
                                         estimator.
                                    3.   If a maximum likelihood estimator is unbiased, then it will also be most efficient.
                                    4.   A maximum likelihood estimator is sufficient provided sufficient estimator exists.

                                    5.   The maximum likelihood estimators are invariant under functional transformation, i.e., if
                                         t is a maximum likelihood estimator of , then f(t) would be maximum likelihood estimator
                                         of f().

                                           Example 2: Obtain a maximum likelihood estimator of p (the proportion of successes) in
                                                                         n
                                                                                    -
                                                                      )
                                    a population with p.m.f. given by  ( ;f X  =    C  X  (1 -  ) n X  , where X denotes the number of
                                                                           X
                                    successes in a sample of n trials.
                                    Solution.
                                                    -
                                         n
                                    Since  C  X  (1 -  ) n X   is the probability of X successes out of n trials, therefore, this is also the
                                           X
                                                                                   -
                                                                        n
                                    likelihood function. Thus, we can write  L =    C  X  (1 -  ) n X  .
                                                                          X
                                    Taking logarithm of both sides, we get
                                                        n
                                                log L =  log C +  X log +  (n X-  )log (1 -  )
                                                          X
                                    Differentiating w.r.t. p, we get
                                                d log L   X  n X
                                                               -
                                                      =  0 +  -   =  0  for maxima of L.
                                                               -
                                                  d        1 






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