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Unit 29: Estimation of Parameters: Criteria for Estimates



                                                                                                  Notes
                               2        2
                         = å (X - X ) +  ( n X -  )  (last term is zero)
                          i
                         nS=  2  +  ( n X -  ) 2


                                   1         2    n      n       2
                                                     2
            Therefore, we can write   -  2 å (X -  )  = -  S -  (X -  ) .
                                         i
                                  2             2 2   2 2
            Hence  ( f X 1 ; , ) ´  ( f X  2 ; , )  .... ´  ´  ( f X  n ; , )
                      
                                
                                               
                                n  n   n   2    n    2        n  n
                                     2
                         æ  1  ö  -  2  S -  2  (X -  )  -  2  (X -  )  æ  1  ö  -  2  S 2
                        =  ç   ÷  e  2  2  =  e  2  ´  ç  ÷  e  2
                         è   2 ø                     è    2 ø
                        =  g ( , ,X   ) ( ,h S ´  2  )
                                                                                  2
            Since h  is independent of m, therefore  X  is a sufficient estimator of  . However,  S   is  not
                               2
            sufficient estimator of   because g is not independent of .
                                 1        2
                              2
            Further, if we define  S = å (X -   ) ,  then
                                 n    i
                                                      n  n  2
                                               æ  1  ö  -  2  S
             ( f X 1 ; , ) ´  ( f X 2 ; , )  .... ´  ´  ( f X n ; ,  )  = ç è    2 ø ÷  e  2
                           
                 
                                 2
                                                              2
            Thus, the newly defined S  becomes a sufficient estimator of  . We note that h(X , X , ...... X ) =
                                                                             1  2    n
            1 in this case.
                                                                    1         2
                                                                  2
            The above result suggests that if m is known, then we should use  S = å (X -  )    rather than
                                                                    n     i
                1         2
                                                          2
            S = å  (X -  X  )  because former is better estimator of s .
             2
                n    i
            29.2.5 Methods of Point Estimation
            Given various criteria of a good estimator, the next logical step is to obtain an estimator possessing
            some or all of the above properties.
            There are several methods of obtaining a point estimator  of the population parameter. For
            example, we can use the method of maximum likelihood, method of least squares, method of
            minimum variance, method of minimum   c 2  , method of moments, etc. We shall, however, use
            the most popular method of maximum likelihood.

            Method of Maximum Likelihood

            Let X , X , ...... X be a random sample of n independent observations from a population with
                1  2     n
            probability density function (or p.m.f.) f(X;  ), where   is unknown parameter for which we
            desire to find an estimator.
            Since X , X , ...... X are independent random variables, their joint probability function or the
                  1  2     n
            probability of obtaining the given sample, termed as likelihood function, is given by





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