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Unit 7: Modern Approach to Probability
Theorem 3. Notes
For any two events A and B in a sample space S
P Bg b
P A d Bi b P A Bg
Figure 7.2
Venn Diagram
Proof.
From the Venn diagram, we can write
B b
B b
B d A i A Bg b g P A i A Bg
P B d
or
Since A d Bi and A B b g are mutually exclusive, we have
P B b g d Bi b Bg
P A
P A
+
P Bg b
or P A d Bi b P A Bg .
Similarly, it can be shown that
P Ag b
P A d Bi b P A Bg
Additive Laws
P A b Bg b + P Bg b Bg
P Ag b
P A
Proof.
From the Venn diagram, given above, we can write
A B Ad A Bi or P A b B g P Ad A Bi
Since A and A d Bi are mutually exclusive, we can write
P A b Bg b + P A Bi
P Ag d
Substituting the value of P A d Bi from theorem 3, we get
P A b Bg b + P Bg b Bg
P Ag b
P A
Remarks:
1. If A and B are mutually exclusive, i.e., A B , then according to theorem 1, we have
P Ag b
P A b Bg 0 . The addition rule, in this case, becomes P A b Bg b + P Bg , which is
in conformity with axiom III.
2. The event A B (i.e. A or B) denotes the occurrence of either A or B or both. Alternatively,
it implies the occurrence of at least one of the two events.
3. The event A B (i.e. A and B) is a compound (or joint) event that denotes the simultaneous
occurrence of the two events.
4. Alternatively, the event A B is also denoted by A + B and the event A B by AB.
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