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Unit 7: Modern Approach to Probability



            Theorem 3.                                                                            Notes

            For any two events A and B in a sample space S
                                  P Bg b
                         P A  d  Bi b    P A  Bg
                                
                                              Figure  7.2











                                             Venn Diagram
            Proof.
            From the Venn diagram, we can write
                                             B b
                    B b
            B d A  i  A  Bg b g     P A  i   A  Bg
                                P B  d
                               or
            Since  A  d  Bi  and  A B b  g  are mutually exclusive, we have
            P B b g d   Bi b    Bg
                 
                            P A
                   P A
                          +
                         P Bg b
            or   P A  d  Bi b    P A   Bg .
                       
            Similarly, it can be shown that
                      P Ag b
            P A  d  Bi b    P A  Bg
                    
            Additive Laws
                        P A b  Bg b  + P Bg b     Bg
                                 P Ag b
                                             P A
                                            
                                
            Proof.
            From the Venn diagram, given above, we can write
                        A  B   Ad A   Bi  or   P A b  B  g  P Ad A  Bi
            Since A and  A  d  Bi are mutually exclusive, we can write
                        P A  b  Bg b  +  P A  Bi
                                 P Ag d
                                
            Substituting the value of  P A  d  Bi  from theorem 3, we get
                        P A b  Bg b  + P Bg b     Bg
                                 P Ag b
                                             P A
                                            
                                
            Remarks:
            1.   If A and B are mutually exclusive, i.e.,  A B    , then according to theorem 1, we have
                                                                      P Ag b
                 P A b  Bg  0 . The addition rule, in this case, becomes  P A b  Bg b  +  P Bg , which is
                                                                     
                 in conformity with axiom III.
            2.   The event  A B   (i.e. A or B) denotes the occurrence of either A or B or both. Alternatively,
                 it implies the occurrence of at least one of the two events.
            3.   The event  A B   (i.e. A and B) is a compound (or joint) event that denotes the simultaneous
                 occurrence of the two events.
            4.   Alternatively, the event  A B   is also denoted by A + B and the event  A B   by AB.





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