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Security Analysis and Portfolio Management




                    Notes          with similar characteristic can be divided into one industrial group. There are many bases on
                                   which grouping of companies can be done.


                                          Example: Traditional classification is generally done product-wise like pharmaceuticals,
                                   cotton textile, synthetic fibre etc.

                                   Such a classification, through useful, does not help much in investment decision-making. Some
                                   of the useful bases for classifying industries from the investment decision-point of view are as
                                   follows:
                                   Growth Industry: This is an industry that is expected to grow consistently and its growth may
                                   exceed the average growth of the economy.

                                   Cyclical Industry:  In this category of the industry, the firms included are those that move
                                   closely with the rate of industrial growth of the economy and fluctuate cyclically as the economy
                                   fluctuates.
                                   Defensive Industry: It is a grouping that includes firms, which move steadily with the economy
                                   and less than the average decline of the economy in a cyclical downturn.

                                   Another useful criterion to classify industries is the various stages of their development. Different
                                   stages of their life cycle development exhibit different characteristic. In fact, each development
                                   is quite unique. Grouping firms with similar characteristics of development help investors to
                                   properly identify different investment opportunities in the companies. Based on the stage in the
                                   life cycle, industries are classified as follows:

                                                             Figure 4.2:  Industry Life  Cycle




                                                 Industry Output  Introduction  Growth  Maturity  Decline














                                   Pioneering stage: This is the first stage in industrial life cycle of a new industry. In this, technology
                                   and its products are relatively new and have not reached  a stage of perfection. There is an
                                   experimental order both in product and technology. However, there is a demand for its products
                                   in the market; the profits opportunities are in plenty. This is a stage where the venture capitalists
                                   take a lot of interest, enter the industry and sometimes organize the business. At this stage, the
                                   risk commences in this industry and hence, mortality rate is very high. If an industry withstands
                                   them, the investors would reap the rewards substantially or else substantial risk of investment
                                   exists. A very pertinent example of this stage of industry in India was the leasing industry,
                                   which tried to come up during the mid-eighties. There was a mushroom growth of companies in
                                   this period. Hundreds of companies came into existence. Initially, lease rental charged by them









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