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Introduction to Artificial Intelligence & Expert Systems  Mithilesh Kumar Dubey, Lovely Professional University




                    Notes                           Unit 7: Probabilistic Reasoning


                                     CONTENTS
                                     Objectives
                                     Introduction

                                     7.1  Bayesian Probabilistic Inference
                                          7.1.1  Inference
                                          7.1.2  Brief Introduction to the Bayesian Approach

                                          7.1.3  An Alternative to Bayes: The Stanford Certainty Factor Algebra
                                          7.1.4  Graphical Models for Uncertain Reasoning
                                          7.1.5  The Bayesian Belief Network
                                          7.1.6  Inference with a Bayesian Belief Network
                                     7.2  Possible World Representations

                                          7.2.1  Pointing to the Subject
                                          7.2.2  Common Realms of Discourse
                                          7.2.3  Knowledge Representation

                                     7.3  The Dempster – Shafer Theory
                                          7.3.1  Characteristics of D – S
                                          7.3.2  Example of D – S Application
                                          7.3.3  Combining Evidences
                                          7.3.4  Advantages and Disadvantages of D – S Theory

                                     7.4  Heuristic Reasoning Methods
                                          7.4.1  Problems with Current Approaches to Uncertainty
                                     7.5  Summary

                                     7.6  Keywords
                                     7.7  Review Questions
                                     7.8  Further Readings


                                   Objectives

                                   After studying this unit, you will be able to:

                                       Discuss the Bayesian Probabilistic Inference
                                       Describe the Possible World Representations
                                       Explain the Dempster – Shafer Theory
                                       Identify various Heuristic Reasoning Methods






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