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Unit 3: Analysing Profitability of Customers




          Optimal allocation of resources and efforts across profitable customers and cost effective and  Notes
          customer specific communication channels (marketing contacts) is the key to the success of such
          an approach. This calls for assessing the value of individual customers and employing customer
          level strategies based on customers’ worth to the firm.
          The assessment of the value of a firm’s customers is the key to this customer-centric approach.
          But what  is the  value of a customer? Can customers be evaluated based only on their past
          contribution to the firm? Which metric is better in identifying the future worth of the customer?
          These are some of the questions for which a firm needs answers before assessing the value of its
          customers. Many customer oriented firms realize that the customers are valued more than the
          profit they bring in every transaction. Customers’ value has to be based on their contribution to
          the firm across the duration of their relationship with the firm. In simple terms, the value of a
          customer is the value the customer brings to the firm over his/her lifetime. Some recent studies
          (Reinartz & Kumar, 2003) have shown that past contributions from a customer may not always
          reflect his or her future worth to the firm. Hence, there is a need for a metric which will be an
          objective measure of future profitability of the customer  to the  firm (Berger & Nasr, 1998).
          Customer lifetime value takes into account the total financial contribution—i.e. revenues minus
          costs—of a customer over his or her entire lifetime with the company and therefore reflects the
          future profitability  of the customer. Customer lifetime value (CLV) is  defined as  the sum of
          cumulated cash flows—discounted using the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) — of
          a customer over his or her entire lifetime with the company.
          The  shareholder  value  and the  customer  lifetime  value  approach  are  conceptually  and
          methodically analogous. Both concepts calculate the  value of  a particular  decision unit by
          discounting the forecasted net cash flows by the risk-adjusted cost of capital. However, virtually
          no  scholarly attention  has been  devoted to  the question  if any of  the  components  of  the
          shareholder value could be determined in a more market-oriented way using individual customer
          lifetime  values. Therefore, the main  objective of  this  unit  is  to systematically explore  the
          contribution  of  both  concepts  to  the  field  of  corporate  valuation.  At  first  we  present  a
          comprehensive  calculation method  for estimating  both the  individual lifetime  value  of  a
          customer and the customer equity. After a critical examination of the shareholder value concept,
          a synthesis of both value approaches allowing for a disaggregated and more realistic corporate
          valuation will be presented.

          The Significance of the Customer in Corporate Valuation

          In recent years, the proliferation of value-based management has led to an increasing demand
          for corporate valuation methods. This development is rooted in external factors, namely in the
          capital market’s requirements. The fulfillment of the need to effectively assess companies is
          particularly important at a time when a strongly merger-driven economy  with a growing
          monetary transaction  volume fosters  the danger of false  evaluation  and  misinterpretation.
          However, internal reasons also play a major role in this context, such as the support of efficient
          resource allocation, which requires the measurement of the value contribution of functions or
          business units (Srivastava/Shervani/Fahey 2000, pp.168 f.; Blattberg/Deighton 1996, pp. 136–
          144).
          These days, market orientation does not represent a company’s key success factor, market value
          orientation does. In this context, market value orientation is usually  interpreted  as  capital
          market orientation; for this reason, the concept of shareholder value is frequently employed.
          Resulting from the financial origins of the shareholder value concept as a predominant evaluation
          method, marketing as a likewise value-creating area has long been neglected. It is an accepted
          fact that the field of marketing and – within this broad area – the field of sales represents the
          crucial company-customer interface, the customer  being the  most valuable resource  of  the
          company (Srivastava/Shervani/Fahey 1999, p. 169). It is the customer who creates value – all



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