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Research Methodology




                    Notes              have some additional information apart from the study of correlation. For example if, on
                                       the basis of some additional information, we say that the price of tea affects its demand,
                                       then  price  will  be the  cause  and  quantity  will  be the  effect. The  causal  variable  is
                                       also termed as independent  variable while the other variable is termed as  dependent
                                       variable.
                                   2.  The two variables may act upon each other: Cause and effect relation exists in this case
                                       also but it may be very difficult to find out which of the two variables is independent.


                                        Example: If we have data on price of  wheat and its  cost of production, the  correlation
                                   between them may be very high because higher price of wheat may attract farmers to produce
                                   more wheat and more production of wheat may mean higher cost of production, assuming that
                                   it is an increasing cost industry. Further, the higher cost of production may in turn raise the price
                                   of wheat.
                                       For the purpose of determining a relationship between the two variables in such situations,
                                       we can take any one of them as independent variable.
                                   3.  The two variables may be acted upon by the outside influences: In this case we might get a
                                       high value of correlation between the two variables, however, apparently no cause and
                                       effect type relation seems to exist between them.


                                        Example: The demands of the two commodities, say X and Y, may be positively correlated
                                   because the incomes of the consumers are rising. Coefficient of correlation obtained in such a
                                   situation is called a spurious or nonsense correlation.
                                   4.  A high value of the correlation coefficient may be obtained due to sheer coincidence (or
                                       pure chance): This is another situation of spurious correlation. Given the data on any two
                                       variables, one may obtain a high value of correlation coefficient when in fact they do not
                                       have any relationship.


                                        Example:  A high value of correlation coefficient may be obtained between the size of shoe
                                   and the income of persons of a locality.

                                   9.1.1 Scatter  Diagram

                                   Let the bivariate data be denoted by (X , Y ), where i = 1, 2 ...... n. In order to have some idea about
                                                                 i  i
                                   the extent of association between variables X and Y, each pair (X , Y ), i = 1, 2......n, is plotted on
                                                                                       i  i
                                   a graph. The diagram, thus obtained, is called a Scatter Diagram.
                                   Each pair of values (X , Y ) is denoted by a point on the graph. The set of such points may cluster
                                                    i  i
                                   around a straight line or a curve or may not show any tendency of association. Various possible
                                   situations are shown with the help of following diagrams:



                                     Did u know?  What the sets of point in generally known?
                                   The sets of points in scatter diagram are known as dots of the diagram














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