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Unit 9: Correlation and Regression




          Solution:                                                                             Notes
                                         Calculation  Table
                             X         Y        XY        X 2      Y 2

                             10        6        60       100       36
                              9        3        27        81        9
                              7        2        14        49        4
                              8        4        32        64       16
                             11        5        55       121       25
                             45       20       188       415       90
          (a)  Regression of Y on X
                                         nå XY - (å X )(å Y )  5 188 45 20
                                                                 -
                                                             ´
                                                                     ´
                                     b =   nå X - (å X ) 2  =  5 415 - ( ) 2  = 0.8
                                                              ´
                                                                    45
                                               2
               Also,  X =  45  =  9  and  Y =  20  =  4
                        5            5
               Now  a Y=  -  bX  = 4 - 0.8 × 9 = – 3.2

                 Regression of Y on X is Y  = – 3.2 + 0.8X
                                      C
          (b)  Regression of X on Y
                                         nå XY - (å X )(å Y )  5 188 45 20
                                                             ´
                                                                 -
                                                                     ´
                                     d =              2   =           2  = 0.8
                                           nå Y - (å Y )     5 90 - ( )
                                                              ´
                                               2
                                                                    20
                         Also,  c =  X -  dY  = 9 – 0.8 × 4 = 5.8
                 The regression of X on Y is X  = 5.8 + 0.8Y
                                         C
                                                 ´
                                         ×
          (c)  Coefficient of correlation  r =  b d =  0.8 0.8 = 0.8
          9.4.3 Non-parametric Regression
          Nonparametric regression analysis traces the dependence of a response variable (y) on one or
          several predictors (xs) without specifying in advance the function that relates the response to the
          predictors:
                                         E(y ) = f(x ,..., x )
                                            i    1i   pi
          where E(y )  is the  mean of y for the ith of n observations.  It  is typically  assumed that  the
                   i
          conditional variance of y, Var(y |x ,..., x ) is a constant, and that the conditional distribution of
                                   i  1i  pi
          y is normal, although these assumptions can be relaxed.
          There are many specific methods of non-parametric regression. Most, but not all, assume that
          the regression function is in some sense smooth.
          The simplest use of non-parametric  regression is in smoothing scatterplots. Here, there is a
          numerical response y and a single predictor x, and we seek to clarify visually the relationship
          between the two variables in a scatterplot. Three common methods of nonparametric regression
          are  kernel  estimation,  local-polynomial  regression (which  is  a  generalization  of  kernel
          estimation), and smoothing splines.






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