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Research Methodology




                    Notes          11.7 Problems in the Construction of Index Numbers

                                   The following are some general problems that are faced in the construction of any index number:
                                   1.  Definition of the purpose: Since it is possible to construct index numbers for a number of
                                       purposes and one cannot have an all purpose index, therefore, it is very essential to define
                                       the specific purpose of its construction. For example, if we are interested in the construction
                                       of a price index number, we must have knowledge about the purpose to be served by it,
                                       i.e., what is to be measured by it; like the  cost of living of  workers or the change  in
                                       wholesale prices, etc. In the absence of this information, it may be difficult to carry out
                                       various steps in the construction of an index number. The questions like what are items to
                                       be included, from which of the markets the price quotations are to be obtained, what will
                                       be the weights of different items, etc., cannot be answered unless the purpose of the index
                                       number construction is known. Further, an index number can be of sensitive or general
                                       nature. In case  of sensitive  index, only  those items  are included  whose variables (like
                                       prices in case of price index) fluctuate very often; while efforts are made to include as
                                       many items as possible when the index is of general nature. It may be pointed out that the
                                       index numbers are specialised tools and as such are more useful and efficient when properly
                                       used. The first step in this direction is a specific definition of the purpose of its construction.
                                   2.  Selection of the base period: Every index number is constructed with reference to a base
                                       period. There are two important points that must be kept in mind while selecting the base
                                       period of an index number.
                                       (a)  The base period should correspond to a period of relative economic and political
                                            stability, i.e., it should be a normal or representative period in some way. In certain
                                            situations where identification of such a period is not possible, the average of certain
                                            periods can also be taken as base.
                                       (b)  The comparison of current period with a remote base doesn’t have much relevance.
                                            In the words of Morris Hamburg, “It is desirable that the base period be not too far
                                            away in time from the present. The further away we move from the base period the
                                            dimmer are  our recollections  of  economic  conditions  prevailing  at  that  time.
                                            Consequently, comparisons with these remote base periods tend to lose significance
                                            and become rather tenuous in meaning”.
                                            Another problem with a remote base period can be that certain items that were in
                                            use in the base period are no longer in use while certain new items are in use in
                                            current period. In such a situation the two item bundles are no longer homogeneous
                                            and comparable. This problem is less likely to occur when fairly recent period is
                                            chosen as base.

                                       !
                                     Caution  The base period should not be too distant from the current period.
                                   3.  Selection of number and type of items: An index number of a particular group of items is
                                       in fact based on a sample of items taken from it. It is neither possible nor necessary to
                                       include all the items of the group in the construction of an index number. The number of
                                       items to be included depends largely upon the purpose of the index number.
                                       There are no hard and fast rules that can be laid down with regard to the selection of the
                                       number of items, however, it must be remembered that more is the number of items the
                                       more representative will be the index number and more cumbersome will be the task of
                                       computations. Therefore, it is necessary to have some sort of balance between having a
                                       representative index and the work of computation involved in its construction.




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