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Unit 13: PERT, CPM and Time Estimation




                                                                                                Notes
                                            Table 13.3

                        Duration   Earliest   Earliest             Latest
               Event                                   Latest Start         Total Float
                        (Weeks)     Start     Finish               Finish
                1-2        4          0         4          0         4          0
                2-3        0          4         4          4         4          0
                3-4        7          4         11         4         11         0

                1-3        3          0         3          1         4          1
                2-4        6          4         10         5         11         1


          The Earliest Start is the value in the rectangle near the tail of each activity.
          1.   The Earliest Finish is = Earliest Start + Duration
          2.   The Latest Finish is the value in the diamond at the head of each activity
          3.   The Latest Start is = Latest Finish - Duration

          There are two important types of Float or Slack. These are Total Float and Free Float.
          TOTAL FLOAT is the spare time available when all preceding activities occur at the earliest
          possible times and all succeeding activities occur at the latest possible times.

          Total Float = Latest Start - Earliest Start
          Activities with zero Total float are on the Critical Path
          FREE FLOAT is the spare time available when all preceding activities occur at the earliest possible
          times and all succeeding activities occur at the earliest possible times.
          When an activity has zero Total float, Free float will also be zero.
          There are various other types of float (Independent, Early Free, Early Interfering, Late Free, Late
          Interfering), and float can also be negative. We shall not go into these situations at present for
          the sake of simplicity and be concerned only with Total Float for the time being.
          Having computed the various parameters of each activity, we are now ready to  go into the
          scheduling phase, using a type of bar chart known as the Gantt Chart.
          There are various other types of float (Independent, Early Free, Early Interfering, Late Free, Late
          Interfering), and float can also be negative. We shall not go into these situations at present for
          the  sake  of  simplicity and be concerned only with  Total Float  for the  time being.  Having
          computed the various parameters of each activity, we are now ready to go into the scheduling
          phase, using a type of bar chart known as the Gantt Chart.



             Did u know? TOTAL FLOAT is the spare time available when all preceding activities occur
             at the earliest possible times and all succeeding activities occur at the latest possible times.

          13.10 The PERT (Probabilistic) Approach

          So  far we  have talked about projects, where there  is high certainty about the outcomes of
          activities. In other words, the cause-effect logic is well known. This is particularly the case in
          Engineering projects.




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