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Unit 5: Political and Economic Environment




          between India and Pakistan, both the countries have fought three wars and the relations are   notes
          strained to the extent of even using nuclear power in case of extreme emergencies. Now, with
          the movement of Bus from Delhi to Lahore and back in which both the prime ministers will be
          travelling, the tension seems to have been reduced and there is likelihood that both the countries
          will have a common nuclear programme and also sign a no-war pact in the near future.
          Companies can derive positive economic benefits when the relationship between two countries
          improves  or  when  the  host  government  adopts  a  new  investment  policy.  As  in  the  case  of
          India, the country was a highly regulated, closed economy, which discouraged foreign direct
          investment. It was only in 1991 that a new government began the reform programme, which
          could transform India into one of the world’s most dynamic economies.
          On the other hand, serious problems can develop when the political condition deteriorates. A
          favourable investment climate can disappear overnight. For example, the United States withdrew
          Chile’s duty free trade status because of Chile’s failure to take “steps to afford internationally
          recognised  worker  rights”.  Chile,  thus,  joined  Romania,  Nicaragua  and  Paraguay  being
          suspended from the Generalised System of Preferences (GSP). The economic sanctions imposed
          by America, Japan and other European countries on India and Pakistan after they had exploded
          the nuclear devices is again unjustifiable. Prior to the explosions, both the countries, especially
          Pakistan, had very cordial economic and military relations with USA. Pakistan’s economy is at
          the lowest ebb under the present sanctions.

          5.1.5 factors affecting Global Business


          Political risk analysis
          There  are  a  number  of  political  risks  which  are  to  be  faced  by  international  marketers.  The
          risks,  which  the  marketers  face  from  the  host  government,  are  –  confiscation,  expropriation,
          nationalisation, domestication and creeping expropriation. Such actions are more likely to be
          levied  against  foreign  investments  though  local  firms  are  not  totally  immune.  For  example,
          Charles de Gaulle nationalised France’s three largest banks in 1945 and more nationalisation
          occurred in 1982 under the French socialists.
          Confiscation  is  the  process  of  a  government’s  taking  ownership  of  a  property  without
          compensation. For example, the Chinese government seized American property after the Chinese
          communists took power in 1949. Occidental Petroleum Company, wanted the United States to
          review Venezuela’s GSP eligibility after the country confiscated the company’s assets without
          compensation.
          Expropriation differs from confiscation in that there is some compensation though not necessarily
          just compensation. More often than not, a company whose property is being expropriated agrees
          to sell its operations – not by choice but rather because of some explicit or implied coercion.
          Nationalisation  involves  government  ownership  and  it  is  the  government  that  operates  the
          business being taken over. Myanmar’s foreign trade, for example, is completely nationalised.
          Generally  this  action  affects  the  whole  industry  rather  than  just  a  single  company.  Mexico
          attempted to control its debt problem. President Jose Lopez Portillo nationalised the country’s
          banking  system.  In  another  case  of  nationalisation,  Libya’s  Col.  Gaddafi’s  vision  of  Islamic
          socialism  led  him  to  nationalise  all  private  business  in  1981.  India  nationalised  its  banking,
          transportation and insurance industries in 70s.
          In  domestication,  foreign  companies  relinquish  control  and  ownership  either  completely  or
          partially to the nationals. The result is that private entities are allowed to operate the confiscated
          or  expropriated  properties.  The  French  government,  after  finding  out  that  the  state  was  not
          sufficiently proficient to run the banking business, developed a plan to sell 36 French banks.
          Domestication may sometimes be a voluntary act that takes place in the absence of confiscation
          or nationalisation. Usually, the causes of this action are either poor economic performance or



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