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Unit 10: Sequencing Problems and Replacement Theory




          1st Case: Theorem: Statement                                                          Notes

          The cost of maintenance of a machine is given as a function increasing with time and its scrap
          value is constant.
          1.   If the time is measured continuously, then the average annual cost will be minimized by
               replacing the machine when the average cost to that date becomes equal to the current
               maintenance cost.

          2.   If the time is measured in discrete units, then the average annual cost will be minimized
               by replacing the machine when the next period’s maintenance cost becomes greater than
               the current average cost.

                Example: The cost of a machine is ` 6, 100 and its scrap value is ` 100 only. The maintenance
          costs are found from experience to be:

                   Year          1      2      3      4      5     6       7      8
             Maintenance Cost (`)   100   250   400   600   900   1,250   1,600   2,000

          Solution:
          Table showing optimum period of replacement of the machine

            Replacement at the   Running cost   Total Rn   C – S   Total cost   Average cost
              end of the year   Rn (`)     Rn (`)     (`)        Pn (`)      (`)
                   1             100        100       6,000      6,100       6,100
                   2             250        350       6,000      6,350       3,175
                   3             400        750       6,000      6,750       2,250
                   4             600       1,350      6,000      7,350      1,837.05
                   5             900       2,250      6,000      8,250       1,650
                   6            1,250      3,500      6,000      9,500      1,583.33
                   7            1,600      5,100      6,000      11,100     1,585.07
                   8            2,000      7,100      6,000      13,100     1,637.05

          Inference

          The machine has to be replaced at the end of the 6th year or at the beginning of the 7th year as the
          maintenance cost of the 7th year becomes higher than the  average cost of maintaining  the
          machine at the end of the 6th year.


                 Example:  A  machine owner finds from  his  past records  that the costs per year  of
          maintaining a machine different and which are given below:

                   Year          1      2      3      4      5      6      7      8
            Maintenance cost in (`)    1,000   1,200   1,400   1,800   2,300   2,800   3,400   4,000
               Resale price (`)    3,000   1,500   750   375   200   200   200   200

          If the purchase price of that machine is ` 6,000, then at what age the replacement is due?










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