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Unit 3: Forward Contracts




               or the  market, or  in anticipation  of earnings disappointments often due to  accounting  Notes
               irregularities, new competition, change of management,  etc. Often used as a hedge  to
               offset long-only portfolios and by  those who feel the market is approaching a bearish
               cycle. High risk. Expected Volatility: Very High.
          13.  Special Situations: Invests in event-driven situations such as mergers, hostile takeovers,
               reorganizations, or leveraged buy-outs. Investors May involve simultaneous purchase of
               stock in companies being acquired, and the sale of stock in its acquirer, hoping to profit
               from the spread between the current market price and the ultimate purchase price of the
               company. May also utilize derivatives to leverage returns and to hedge out interest rate
               and/or market risk. Results generally are not dependent on direction of market. Expected
               Volatility:  Moderate.

          14.  Value: Invests in securities perceived to be selling at deep discounts to their intrinsic or
               potential worth. Such securities may be out of favour or underfollowed by analysts. Long-
               term holding, patience, and strong discipline are often required until the market recognizes
               the ultimate value. Expected Volatility: Low - Moderate.

          Self Assessment

          Fill in the blanks:
          1.   …………… risks reflect the pejorative impact of fluctuations in financial prices on the cash
               flows that come from purchases or sales.
          2.   ………….refers to the impact of fluctuations in financial prices on the core business of the
               firm.
          3.   …………..risks describe the changes in the value of a foreign asset due  to changes in
               financial prices, such as the foreign exchange rate.
          4.   Investors buy  equity, debt,  or  trade  claims  at  …………..of companies  in  or  facing
               bankruptcy or reorganization.

          5.   Future performance of strategies with …………..volatility  is far less predictable than
               future performance from strategies experiencing ………….volatility.

          3.2 Basics of Forward Contracts

          A forward contract is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell underlying assets at a pre
          determined future date at a price agreed when the contract is entered into. Forward contracts are
          not standardized products. They are over-the-counter (not traded in recognized stock exchanges)
          derivatives that are tailored to meet specific user needs. The underlying assets of this contract
          include:

          1.   Traditional agricultural or physical commodities
          2.   Currencies (foreign exchange forwards)
          3.   Interest rates (forward rate agreements or FRAs)


                 Example: Suppose you decide to subscribe to cable TV. As the buyer, you enter into an
          agreement with the cable company to receive a specific number of cable channels at a certain
          price every month for the next year. This contract made with the cable company is similar to a
          futures contract, in that you have agreed to receive a product at a future date, with the price and
          terms for delivery already set. You have secured your price for now and the next year-even if the




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