Page 455 - DECO401_MICROECONOMIC_THEORY_HINDI

bdkbZ 28 % tksf[ke rFkk vfuf'prrk dk vFkZ'kkL=k

visf{kr ewY; (Expected Value) uksV
fdlh laHkkO;rk forj.k gsrq ,sls lkaf[;dh; eki gksrs gSa tks forj.k osQ fo"k; esa laf{kIr tkudkjh miyCèk
djkrs gSaA buesa ls ,d laHkkO;rk forj.k visf{kr ewY; vFkok ekè; (vkSlr&mean) esa iz;ksx djrs gq,]
fofoèk ifj.kkeksa ls lacafèkr ewY;ksa dk Hkkfjr vkSlr gksrk gSA
;fn nks laHko ifj.kke X ,oa X ewY;ksa osQ gksa rFkk izR;sd ifj.kke dh laHkkO;rk P ,oa P gh gqbZ gks rks
1 2 1 2
visf{kr ewY; dk lw=k gksxkA
Σ = P (X ) + P (X )
v 1 1 2 2
eku yhft, fd nks f[kykfM+;ksa osQ chp flDdk mNkyus ij] ;g r; fd;k tkrk gS fd ;fn igyh ckj flDdk
mNkyus ij 'kh"kZ (head) vkrk gS rks f[kykM+h dks 100 #- izkIr gkssaxs rFkk iV (tail) vkus ij mls 60 #-
pqdkus gksaxsA mijksDr rkfydk osQ vuqlkj] ;fn laHkkO;rk forj.k Øe'k% 0-6 rFkk 0-4 gS rks bl 'krZ dk
visf{kr ewY; fuEukuqlkj gksxkμ

rkfydk 2
?kVuk ifj.kke laHkkO;rk

thr #- 100 0-6
gkj μ#- 60 0-4

visf{kr ewY; vFkok f[kykM+h dks Hkqxrku #- 36 gS vFkkZr~
Σ = 0-6 (#- 100) + 0-4 (μ#- 60) = 60 μ 24 = #- 36A
v
28-1 tksf[ke osQ izfr ,d miHkksDrk dk O;ogkj
(Individual Consumer’s Behaviour Towards Risk)

ijaijkxr mi;ksfxrk fo'ys"k.k tksf[ke jfgr rFkk fuf'pr pqukoksa osQ chp fdlh ,d miHkksDrk osQ O;ogkj dh
O;k[;k djrk gSA tq,] ykVjh fVdVksa vkfn esa ik, tkus okyh visf{kr mi;kssfxrk }kjk tksf[keiw.kZ pqukoksa osQ
vkèkkj ij ,d O;fDr osQ O;ogkj dk vè;;u U;weSu rFkk ekWjxSULVuZ (Newmann and Morgenstern)
}kjk fd;k x;kA izQhMeSu ,oa lSost rFkk ckn esa ekjdksfoV~t us muosQ fl¼kar dks chek [kjhnus osQ tksf[ke
ij ykxw djrs gq, lqèkkjkA
tksf[ke osQ izfr O;fDrxr O;ogkj dks le>us osQ fy,] ,d O;fDr osQ tksf[ke vfèkeku dk vè;;u ge
djrs gSaA

Lo&ewY;kadu (Self Assessment)

fjDr LFkku Hkfj, (Fill in the blanks)μ
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1- vfuf'prrk ekuo thou dk ,d rF; gSA
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2- tksf[ke rFkk esa varj tkuuk vko';d gSA
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3- vfuf'prrk ,d ,slh fLFkfr gS tgk¡ ;g laHkkouk ugha tk ldrhA

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