Page 270 - DECO504_STATISTICAL_METHODS_IN_ECONOMICS_HINDI
P. 270

vFkZ'kkL=k esa lkaf[;dh; fof/;k¡



                    uksV          xsgw¡ dk vkSlr ewY; = 10 + 12.5 + 14.99 = 37.49 ÷ 3 = 12.50
                                  pkoy dk vkSlr ewY; = 20 + 25 + 30.03 = 75.03 ÷ 3 = 25.01
                                  rsy dk vkSlr ewY; = 50 + 75.19 + 100 = 225.19 ÷ 3 = 75.06
                                                                              ------
                                  ewY;kuqikrksa dh x.kuk = 10 × 100/12.5 = 80 vkSj blh izdkj  A
                                  mnkgj.k (Illustration) 5—uhps 1967-68 o"kZ ls vxys 5 o"kks± osQ fy, vkLVªsfy;k rFkk fo'o esa Åu dk
                                  mRiknu djksM+ fdyksxzke esa fn;k gqvk gSA 1967-70 dks vkSlr vkèkkj ekurs gq, fo'o mRiknu esa vkLVªsfy;k osQ
                                  fgLls dk lwpdkad rS;kj dhft;sμ
                                                       1967-68     1968-69    1969-70     1970-71    1971-72
                                  Australia    :         80          88         92          89         87
                                  World        :         272        281         279        276         267
                                  gy (Solution)—loZizFke fo'o osQ oqQy mRiknu ij vkLVªsfy;k dk izfr'kr mRiknu fudkyk tk;sxk vkSj 1967-
                                  70 vFkkZr~ izFke pkj o"kks± osQ mRiknu dk vkSlr fudky djosQ mls vkèkkj eku fy;k tk;sxkA

                                         o"kZ         vkLVªsfy;k       fo'o       vkLVªsfy;k dk »    lwpdkad
                                       1967-68          80             272             29.4           93.3
                                       1968-69          88             281             31.3           99.4
                                       1969-70          92             279             33.0           104.8
                                       1970-71          89             276             32.2           102.2
                                       1971-72          87             267             32.6           103.5

                                                                 vkLVªsfy;k dk mRiknu
                                  fo'o mRiknu esa vkLVªsfy;k dk » Hkkx =            × 100
                                                                    fo'o dk mRiknu
                                                                 29.4 +  31.3 +  33.0 +  32.2
                                                     vkSlr vkèkkj =                      = 31.5
                                                                            4
                                                                                          .
                                                               vkLVªsfy;k dk » Hkkj    29 4
                                              1967-68 dk lwpdkad =               × 100 =     × 100 = 93.3
                                                                                          .
                                                                   vkSlr vkèkkj         315
                                  blh izdkj vxys o"kks± dk Hkh lwpdkad fudky fy;k tk;sxkA
                                  18-2 Ük`a[kyk&vkèkkj jhfr (Chain Base-Method)


                                  bl jhfr osQ vuqlkj izR;sd pkyw o"kZ osQ fy, mlls fiNyk o"kZ] vkèkkj o"kZ dh Hkk¡fr dke djrk gSA bl
                                  izdkj vkèkkj vkSj pkyw o"kZ esa ,d  Ük`a[kyk&lh cuh jgus osQ dkj.k bldks  Ük`a[kyk vkèkkj jhfr dgrs gSaA bl jhfr
                                  dk izeq[k xq.k ;g gS fd blosQ }kjk vYidkyhu rFkk rRdkyhu ifjorZuksa dk irk pyrk jgrk gSA bruk gh
                                  ugha] cfYd blesa iqjkuh oLrqvksa osQ ifjR;kx rFkk uohu oLrqvksa osQ lekos'k dh lEHkkouk Hkh cuh jgrh gSA nks"k
                                  dh n`f"V ls ;g jhfr nh?kZdkyhu ifjorZuksa osQ vè;;u osQ fy, loZFkk vuqi;qDr le>h tkrh gSA
                                  Ük`a[kyk vkèkkj lwpdkadksa dh fuekZ.k&fofèkμlcls igys lHkh oLrqvksa osQ  Ük`a[kyk ewY;kuqikr fudkys tkrs gSa
                                  ftldk lw=k bl izdkj gSμ
                                               Current Year’s Price          pkyw o"kZ dk ewY;
                                         L.R. =                     × 100 ;k =               × 100
                                               Previous Year’s Price        fiNy o"kZ dk ewY;
                                                                                 s
                                  bl izdkj fudkys x,  Ük`a[kyk&ewY;kuqikrksa osQ ;ksx dks oLrqvksa dh la[;k ls Hkkx nsus ij ^Ük`a[kyk&ewY;kuqikrksa
                                  dk ekè;* (Average of Link Relatives) Kkr gks tkrk gSA (nsf[k, Illustration 5)





        264                               LOVELY PROFESSIONAL UNIVERSITY
   265   266   267   268   269   270   271   272   273   274   275