Page 110 - DMTH404_STATISTICS
P. 110

Statistics



                      Notes         (f)  Second card is not a spade.

                                    (g)  Second card is not a spade given that first is a spade.
                                    (h)  The cards are aces or diamonds or both.
                                    Solution.

                                                                 ´
                                                                4 48   16
                                                             )
                                     (a)   P (only first card is a king      .
                                                               52 51   221
                                                                  ´
                                                               ´
                                         æ first card is a jack of ö  5 51  5
                                     (b)   P ç             ÷         .
                                         è  diamond or a king  ø  52 51  52
                                                                ´
                                         æ at least one card isö  40 39  7
                                                                ´
                                     (c)   P ç           ÷    1      .
                                         è    a picture card  ø  52 51  17
                                                                ´
                                          æ not more than one cardö  40 39  12 40  40 12  210
                                                                  ´
                                                                                 ´
                                                                         ´
                                     (d)   P                         +      +          .
                                          ç è       is a picture card   ÷ ø  52 51  52 51  52 51  221
                                                                         ´
                                                                                 ´
                                                                  ´
                                                                    52 39   13
                                                                      ´
                                                                  )
                                     (e)   P (cards are not of the same suit      .
                                                                    52 51   17
                                                                       ´
                                                                  13 39  39 38  3
                                                                           ´
                                                                    ´
                                                               )
                                     (f)   P (second card is not a spade    +    .
                                                                  52 51  52 51  4
                                                                           ´
                                                                    ´
                                         æ second card is not a spadeö  39  13
                                     (g)   P                          .
                                         ç è   given that first is spade  ø ÷  51  17
                                                                ´
                                          æ  the cards are aces or ö  16 15  20
                                     (h)   P ç             ÷          .
                                                                ´
                                          è    diamonds or both  ø  52 51  221
                                           Example 37: The odds are 9 : 7 against a person A, who is now 35 years of age, living till
                                    he is 65 and 3 : 2 against a person B, now 45 years of age, living till he is 75. Find the chance that
                                    at least one of these persons will be alive 30 years hence.
                                    Solution.
                                    Note: If a is the number of cases favourable to an event A and a is the number of cases favourable to its
                                    compliment event (a + a = n), then odds in favour of A are a : a and odds against A are a : a.
                                                                a             a
                                                                        ( ) 
                                                Obviously  ( )     and P A      .
                                                         P A
                                                                              +
                                                                +
                                                               a a           a a
                                    Let A be the event that person A will be alive 30 years hence and B be the event that person B will
                                    be alive 30 years hence.
                                                          7   7             2   2
                                                   P A          and  P B    
                                                                      ( )
                                                    ( ) 
                                                          +
                                                                            +
                                                        9 7   16          3 2   5
                                    We have to find  P A B b  g . Note that A and B are independent.


            102                              LOVELY PROFESSIONAL UNIVERSITY
   105   106   107   108   109   110   111   112   113   114   115