Page 223 - DMTH404_STATISTICS
P. 223

Unit 15: Exponential Distribution and Normal Distribution



            Solution.                                                                             Notes

            Let X denote the quantity of petrol taken by a vehicle. It is given that X ~ N(20, 10).

                               -
                         æ   25 20ö
               P
               (X   25 ) =  P z   ÷  =  P (z   0.5 )
                         ç
                         è     10  ø
                              - Pb  £ £ 05g
                                                         =
                                                    .
                                                  -
                                                           .
                            = 05000.  0  z  .  = 05000 01915 03085
                                             .
            Let N be the total number of vehicles taking petrol on that day.
              0.3085×´  N = 100  or  N = 100/0.3085 = 324 (approx.)
            15.3.6 Normal Approximation to Binomial Distribution
            Normal distribution can be used as an approximation to binomial distribution when n is large
            and neither p nor q is very small. If X denotes the number of successes with probability p of a
            success in each of the n trials, then X will be distributed approximately normally with mean np
            and standard deviation  npq .

                                 X -  np
                       Further,  z =    ~ N  (0,1 ).
                                   npq
            It may be noted here that as X varies from 0 to n, the standard normal variate z would vary from
            - ¥ to ¥ because


                          lim  æ - np ö   æ   np ö
            when X = 0,     ç    ÷  = lim   -    ÷  = - ¥
                                          ç
                       n ® ¥ è  npq ø  n®¥  è  q ø

                             lim  æ  n np ö     lim  æ  nq  ö     lim  æ  nq ö
                                    -
            and when X = n,       ç     ÷  =         ç   ÷   =        ç  ÷  = ¥
                          n ® ¥ è   npq ø  n ® ¥ è   npq ø   n ® ¥ è   p ø

            Correction for Continuity

            Since the number of successes is a discrete variable, to use normal approximation, we have make
            corrections for continuity. For example,

                                         æ    1          1ö
            P(X  £ X £ X ) is to be corrected as P X -  £  X £  X +  ÷  , while using normal approximation
                                         ç
               1     2                   è  1  2      2  2 ø
            to binomial since the gap between successive values of a binomial variate is unity. Similarly,
                                        æ     1          1ö
            P(X < X < X ) is to be corrected as P X +  £  X £  X -  ÷  , since X < X does not include X and
                                        ç
               1       2                è  1  2       2  2 ø      1                 1
            X < X does not include X .
                2               2



               Note    The normal approximation  to binomial probability mass function is  good
              when n  50 and neither p nor q is less than 0.1.







                                             LOVELY PROFESSIONAL UNIVERSITY                                  215
   218   219   220   221   222   223   224   225   226   227   228