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Statistics



                      Notes         2.   Using Central Limit Theorem, the above result will also hold for a non-normal population
                                         when both  n  and n  >  30 and fpc is  approximately equal to unity,  i.e.,  n   <  0.05  N
                                                    1     2                                             i       i
                                         (for i = 1, 2).
                                    24.3 Sampling Distribution of the Number of Successes


                                    Let p denote the proportion of successes in population, i.e.,

                                                    Number of successes in population




                                                p =

                                                   Total number of units in population




                                    Let us take a random sample of n units from this population and let X denote the number of
                                    successes in the sample. Thus, X is a random variable with mean np and standard error
                                                          æ   N n           ö
                                                                 -
                                                 np (1 p-  ) or     × np (1 p-  ) ÷
                                                          ç
                                                                 -
                                                          è    N 1          ø
                                    If sampling is done with replacement, then X is a binomial variate with mean np and standard
                                    error  np (1 p-  ) . Using central limit theorem, we can say that the distribution of the number
                                    of successes will approach a normal variate with mean  np and standard error  np (1 p-  )  or
                                      N n
                                        -
                                           × np (1 p-  )  for sufficiently large sample. The sample size is said to be sufficiently large
                                      N 1
                                        -
                                    if both n p and n(1 - p) are greater than 5.
                                    24.3.1 Sampling Distribution of Proportion of Successes

                                           X
                                    Let  p =   be the proportion of successes in sample. Since X is a random variable, therefore, p
                                           n
                                    is also a random variable with mean

                                                        ( )
                                                      E X     np
                                                E ( ) p =  =     =  p  and standard error
                                                        n     n

                                                    1           np (1 p-  )  p (1 p-  )
                                                         ( ) =
                                                =   2  Var X        2    =          (when srswr)
                                                   n               n          n
                                                   N n p   (1 p-  )
                                                     -
                                    or          =       ×         (when srswor)
                                                   N 1      n
                                                     -
                                    As in the previous section, the sampling distribution of p will also be normal if both n p and
                                    n(1 - p) are greater than 5.


                                           Example 2: There are 500 mangoes in a basket out of which 80 are defective. If obtaining
                                    a defective mango is termed as a success, determine the mean and standard error of the proportion
                                    of successes in a random sample of 10 mangoes, drawn (a) with replacement and (b) without
                                    replacement.





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