Page 74 - DMGT405_FINANCIAL%20MANAGEMENT
P. 74

Financial Management



                      Notes         5.1.1  Return  Defined

                                    If we are going to assess risk on the basis of variability of return, we need to be certain what
                                    return is and how to measure it. The return is the total gain or loss experienced on an investment
                                    over a given period of time. It is measured as cash distributions (either dividend or interest)
                                    during the period plus the change in value expressed as a percentage of value of the investment
                                    at the beginning of the period. For Example, suppose one buys a security for   100 and receives
                                      10 in cash and is worth   110 one year later. The return would be (  10 +   10)/  100 = 20 per cent.
                                    Thus, return accrues from two resources, income plus price appreciation (or loss in price). The
                                    expression for calculating the rate of return earned on any asset over period t, k  can be defined
                                                                                                    t
                                    as:

                                                   C +  P -  P
                                                           -
                                             K =     t  t  t 1
                                               t
                                                       P t 1
                                                        -
                                    Where,   K = actual, expected or required rate of return during period t
                                               t
                                             C = Cash flow received from the investment during time period t–1 to t
                                               t
                                              P = Price (value) of asset at time t
                                               t
                                            P   = Pric e (value) of asset at time t – 1
                                             t – 1
                                           Example: X, a high traffic video arcade wants to determine the return on its two video
                                    machines – C and D. C was purchased 1 year back for   200,000 and currently has a market value
                                    of   215,000. During the year, it generated   8000 cash receipts. D was purchased 4 years ago, its
                                    value in the year declined from   120,000 to   118,000. During the year, it generated   17,000 cash
                                    receipts. The annual rate of return of C and D will be as follows:

                                                       +
                                                              -
                                                   8000 215000 200,000   23000
                                          For C =                     =        = 11.5%
                                                         200,000        200,000
                                                               -
                                                        +
                                                   17000 118000 120,000   15000
                                          For D =                      =       = 12.5%
                                                          120,000        120,000
                                    It may be noted that though market value of D declined during the year, its cash flow enabled it
                                    to earn higher rate of return than C during the same period.

                                    5.1.2  Risk  Preferences
                                    Perception of risk varies among managers and firms. The three basic risk preference behaviour
                                    is identified – risk averse, risk indifferent and risk seeking.
                                    1.   For the risk indifferent manager, the expected return does not change as risk increases
                                         from one level to another. In essence, no change in return is expected for the increase in
                                         risk.
                                    2.   For the risk average manager, the expected return increases for an increase in risk. These
                                         managers shy away from risk and hence expectations of return go up to compensate for
                                         taking greater risk.
                                    3.   For the risk-seeking managers, the expected return decreases with increase in risk. Because
                                         they enjoy risk, these managers are willing to give up some return to assume more risk.
                                         However, such behaviour is not likely to benefit the firm.







            68                               LOVELY PROFESSIONAL UNIVERSITY
   69   70   71   72   73   74   75   76   77   78   79