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Unit 11: Capital Market Theory




                    But, since the weight of the asset will be relatively low,  w 2 a           Notes
                    i.e. additional risk = [2w w  ]
                                        m  a  am  a  m
                    Return = (w E(R ) + [w E(R )])
                             m   m     a  a
                    Hence additional return = [w E(R )]
                                           a   a
               (b)  If an asset, a, is correctly  priced, the  improvement in  risk to return achieved  by
                    adding it to the market portfolio, m, will at least match the gains of spending that
                    money on an increased stake in the market portfolio. The assumption is that the
                    investor will purchase the asset with funds borrowed at the risk-free rate, R ; this is
                                                                                f
                    rational if E(R ) > R .
                               a   f
                    Thus
                    [w (E(R ) – R )]/[2w w   ] = [w (E(R ) – R )]/[2w w  ]
                      a   a   f     m  a  am  a  m  a  m   f    m  a  m  m
                    i.e. : [E(R )]  = R  + [E(R ) – R ] * [  ]/[  ]
                            a     f     m    f   am  a  m  m  m
                    i.e. : [E(R )]  = R  + [E(R ) – R ] * [  ]/[  ]
                            a     f     m    f   am   mm
                    [  ]/[   ] is the “beta”,   — the covariance between the asset and the market
                      am   mm
                    compared to the variance  of the market, i.e.  the sensitivity  of the  asset price  to
                    movement in the market portfolio.
          2.   Assumptions:
               Because the CAPM is a theory, we must assume for argument that:
               (a)  All assets in the world are traded.

               (b)  All assets are infinitely divisible.
               (c)  All investors in the world collectively hold all assets.
               (d)  For every borrower, there is a lender.

               (e)  There is a riskless security in the world.
               (f)  All investors borrow and lend at the riskless rate.
               (g)  Everyone agrees on the inputs to the Mean-STD picture.
               (h)  Preferences are well described by simple utility functions.
               (i)  Security distributions are normal, or at least well described by two parameters.

               (j)  There are only two periods of time in our world.
               This is a long list of requirements, and together they describe the capitalist’s ideal world.
               Everything  may be bought and sold in perfectly liquid fractional amounts even human
               capital! There is a perfect, safe haven for risk-averse investors i.e. the riskless asset. This
               means that everyone is an equally good credit risk! No one has any informational advantage
               in the  CAPM world. Everyone has already generously shared all  of their knowledge
               about the  future risk and return of the securities, so no one  disagrees about  expected
               returns. All customer preferences are an open book risk attitudes are well described by a
               simple  utility  function.  There  is  no  mystery  about  the  shape  of  the  future  return
               distributions. Last but not least, decisions are not complicated by the  ability to change
               your mind through time. You invest irrevocably at one point, and reap the rewards of
               your investment in the next period at which time you and the investment problem cease
               to exist. Terminal wealth is measured at that time i.e. he who dies with the most toys wins!
               The technical name for this setting is “A frictionless one-period, multi-asset economy
               with no asymmetric information.”




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