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Unit 11: Capital Market Theory




          The extent of this movement determines the price you are willing to pay (alternately, the return  Notes
          you demand) for holding asset A. The lower the average correlation A has with the rest of the
          assets in the portfolio, the more the frontier, and hence T, will move to the left. This is good news
          for the investor – if A moves your portfolio left, you will demand lower expected return because
          it improves your portfolio risk-return profile. This is why the CAPM is called the “Capital Asset
          Pricing Model.” It explains relative security prices in terms of a security’s contribution to the
          risk of the whole portfolio, not its individual standard deviation.
          The CAPM is a theoretical solution to the identity of the tangency portfolio. It uses some ideal
          assumptions about the economy to argue that the capital weighted world wealth portfolio is the
          tangency portfolio, and that every investor will hold this same portfolio of risky assets. Even
          though it is clear they do not, the  CAPM is still a  very useful  tool. It  has been taken as  a
          prescription for the investment portfolio, as well as a tool for estimating an expected rate of
          return.

          11.3 Further Explorations of the Capital Asset Pricing Model


          1.   Risk-return Trade-off: A Technical Aside: Recall from last unit that, when investors are well
               diversified, they evaluate the attractiveness of a security based upon its contribution to
               portfolio risk, rather than its volatility per se. The intuition is that an asset with a low
               correlation to the tangency portfolio is desirable, because it shifts the frontier to the left.
                                            Figure  11.3
















               Stephen Ross formalized this institution in an article called Finance, published in The New
               Palgrave. It is a simple argument that shows the theoretical basis for the ‘pricing’ part of the
               Capital Asset Pricing Model.


                 Example: Suppose you are an investor who holds the market portfolio M and you are
          considering the purchase of a quantity dx of asset A, by financing it via borrowing at the riskless
          rate. This augments the return of the market portfolio by the quantity: dE  = [E   – R ]dx
                                                                     m    A   f
          Where d symbolizes a small quantity change. This investment also augments the variance of the
          market portfolio. The variance of the market portfolio after adding the new asset is: v + dv = v
          + 2dx cov(A,m) + (dx)  var(a)
                            2
                                                           2
          The change in the variance is then: dv = 2 dx cov(A,m) + (dx)  var(A)
          For small dx’s this is approximately: dv = 2 dx cov(A,m)
               This gives us the risk-return trade-off to investing in a small quantity of A: Risk-Return
               Trade-off for A = dE /dv = [E   – R ]dx/2 dx cov(A,m)
                               m       A   f
               Risk-Return Trade-off for A = dE /dv = [E   – R ]/2 cov(A,m)
                                         m       A   f



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