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Security Analysis and Portfolio Management




                    Notes              Expected Rate of Return on Market Portfolio
                                        Dividends earned + Capital appreciation  146 145
                                                                          100  =        100   = 26.33%
                                                 Initial investment              1,105

                                       Now we can calculate the expected rate of return on individual portfolio, by applying
                                       CAPM.
                                                      E(R) = R +   (R – R )
                                                         i   f   i  m   f
                                                Cement Ltd. = 14 + 0.8 (26.33 – 14) = 23.86%
                                                  Steel Ltd. = 14 + 0.7 (26.33 – 14) = 22.63%

                                                 Liquor Ltd. = 14 + 0.5 (26.33 – 14) = 20.17%
                                         Govt. of India bonds = 14 + 0.99 (26.33 – 14) = 26.21%

                                                                   23.86 + 22.63 + 20.17 + 26.21
                                   2.  Average Return of the Portfolio =                  = 23.22%
                                                                              4
                                       The average return is also  calculated by finding out the average of beta factors of all
                                       securities in the portfolio.

                                                          0.8 + 0.7 + 0.5 + 0.99
                                       Average of betas  =                  = 0.7475
                                                                  4
                                       Average return   = 14 + 0.7475 (26.33 – 14) = 23.22%


                                          Example: The market portfolio has a historically based expected return of 0.095 and a
                                   standard deviation of 0.035 during a period when risk-free assets yielded 0.025. The 0.06 risk
                                   premium is thought to be constant through time. Riskless investments may now be purchased
                                   to yield 0.08. A security has a standard deviation of 0.07 and a 0.75 correlation with the market
                                   portfolio. The market portfolio is now expected to have a standard deviation of 0.035.
                                   Find out the following:
                                   1.  Market’s return-risk trade-off,
                                   2.  Security beta,

                                   3.  Equilibrium required expected return of the security.
                                   Solution:
                                   1.  Calculation of Market’s Return-risk Trade-off

                                        (R  m  R )  0.095 0.025
                                              f
                                                 =            2
                                                     0.035
                                   2.  Calculation of Security Beta

                                             i       0.07
                                          =     r m  =    0.75  1.5
                                        i           0.035
                                             m
                                   3.  Calculation of equilibrium required for Expected Rate of Return on the Security
                                                                E(R) = R +  (R – R )
                                                                   i   f   i  m   f
                                                                    = 8 + 1.5 (6) – 17%




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