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Unit 11: Capital Market Theory




               (f)  The investors’ risk estimates are proportional to the variance of return they perceive  Notes
                    for a security or portfolio.
               (g)  Investors base their investment decisions on two criteria i.e., expected return and
                    variance of return.
          2.   Efficient Frontier: Markowitz has formulised the risk return relationship and developed
               the concept  of  efficient  frontier. For  selection  of  a portfolio,  comparison  between  a
               combination of portfolios  is essential.  As a rule, a  portfolio is  not efficient if there  is
               another portfolio with:
               (a)  a higher expected value of return and a lower standard deviation (risk)
               (b)  a higher expected value of return and the same standard deviations (risk).
               (c)  the same expected value but a lower standard deviation (risk).

               Markowitz has defined the diversification as the process of combining assets that are less
               than perfectly positively correlated in order to reduce portfolio risk without sacrificing
               any portfolio returns. If an investor’s portfolio is not efficient he may:
               (a)  increase the expected value of return without increasing the risk.
               (b)  decrease the risk without decreasing the expected value of return, or
               (c)  obtain some combination of increase of expected return and decreased risk.

               This is possible by switching to a portfolio on the efficient frontier.
               If all the investments are plotted on the risk-return sphere, individual securities would be
               dominated by portfolios, and the efficient frontier would take shape, indicating investments
               which yield maximum return given the level of risk bearable, or which minimises risk
               given the expected level of return. The figure depicts the boundary of possible investments
               in securities A, B, C, D, E and F; and B, C, D are lying on the efficient frontier.

                                Figure  11.9:  Markowitz Efficient  Frontier


                    Expected
                     return


                                                  C
                                                               D



                                                          E
                                       B
                                                   F


                                            A


                            O                     Risk

               The best combination of expected value of return and risk (standard deviation) depends
               upon the investors’ utility function. The individual investor will want to hold that portfolio





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