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Unit 11: Capital Market Theory




               CAPM tells us that all investors will want to hold “capital-weighted” portfolios of global  Notes
               wealth.
               The CAPM equation describes a linear relationship between risk and return.

               Risk, in this case, is measured by beta.
               We may plot this line in mean and   space: The Security Market Line (SML) expresses the
               basic theme of the CAPM, i.e., expected return of a security increases linearly with risk, as
               measured by ‘beta’. The SML is an upward sloping straight line with an intercept at the
               risk-free return securities and passes through the market portfolio.

               The efficiency boundary that arises out of this assumption of the identical risk free lending
               and borrowing rates leads to some very important conclusions and is termed as ‘Capital
               Market Line’ (CML).
               A rational investor would not invest in an  asset that does not  improve the risk-return
               characteristics of his existing portfolio.

               Since a rational investor would hold the market portfolio, the asset in question will be
               added to the market portfolio. MPT derives the required return for a correctly priced asset
               in this context.
               The alpha coefficient (a) gives the vertical intercept point of the regression line.
               In a perfect world, the alpha for an individual stock should be zero and the regression line
               should go through the graph’s origin where the horizontal and vertical axis crosses.
               Beta  coefficient is a measure of the volatility of stock price in relation  to movement in
               stock index of the market, therefore, beta is the index of systematic risk.

               APT holds that the expected return of a financial asset can be modelled as a linear function
               of various macro-economic factors  or theoretical market indices,  where sensitivity to
               changes in each factor is represented by a factor specific beta coefficient.
               The model-derived rate of return will then be used to price the asset correctly – the asset
               price should equal the expected end of period price discounted at the  rate implied by
               model.
               In the APT context, arbitrage consists of trading in two assets – with at least one being
               mispriced. The arbitrageur sells the asset, which is relatively too expensive and uses the
               proceeds to buy one that is relatively too cheap.
               The APT differs from the CAPM in that it is less restrictive in its assumptions.

               It allows for an explanatory (as opposed to statistical) model of asset returns.
               It assumes that each investor will hold a unique portfolio with its own particular array of
               betas, as opposed to the identical “market portfolio”.

               In some ways, the CAPM can be considered a “special case” of the APT in that the securities
               market line represents a single-factor model of the asset price, where Beta is exposure to
               changes in value of the market.
               Harry Markowitz is regarded as the father of modern portfolio theory.
               According to him, investors are mainly concerned with two properties of an asset: risk
               and return, but by diversification of portfolio, it is possible to trade off between them.
               The essence of his theory is that risk of an individual asset hardly matters to an investor.






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