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Customer Relationship Management




                    Notes          Neural networks are also intuitively appealing, based as they are on a crude low-level model of
                                   biological  neural systems.  In the future, the  development of  this neurobiological modelling
                                   may lead to genuinely intelligent computers.

                                   Applications for Neural Networks

                                   Neural networks are applicable in virtually every situation in which a relationship between the
                                   predictor variables (independents, inputs) and predicted variables (dependents, outputs) exists,
                                   even when that relationship is very complex and not easy to articulate in the usual terms of
                                   “correlations” or “differences between groups.” A few representative examples of problems to
                                   which neural network analysis has been applied successfully are:
                                   1.  Detection of medical phenomena: A variety of health-related indices (e.g., a combination
                                       of heart rate, levels of various substances in the blood, respiration rate) can be monitored.
                                       The onset of a particular medical condition could be associated with a very complex (e.g.,
                                       nonlinear and interactive) combination  of changes on a  subset of the variables being
                                       monitored. Neural networks have been used to recognize this predictive pattern so that
                                       the appropriate treatment can be prescribed.

                                   2.  Stock market prediction: Fluctuations of stock prices and stock indices are another example
                                       of a complex, multidimensional, but in some circumstances at least partially-deterministic
                                       phenomenon.  Neural networks  are being  used  by  many  technical  analysts  to  make
                                       predictions  about  stock  prices  based  upon a  large  number  of factors  such  as  past
                                       performance of other stocks and various economic indicators.
                                   3.  Credit assignment: A variety of pieces of information are usually known about an applicant
                                       for a loan. For instance, the applicant’s age, education, occupation, and many other facts
                                       may be available. After training a neural network on historical data, neural network
                                       analysis can identify the most relevant characteristics and use those to classify applicants
                                       as good or bad credit risks.
                                   4.  Monitoring the condition of machinery: Neural networks can be instrumental in cutting
                                       costs by  bringing additional  expertise  to  scheduling the  preventive maintenance  of
                                       machines. A neural network can be trained to distinguish between the sounds a machine
                                       makes when it is running normally (“false alarms”) versus when it is on the verge of a
                                       problem. After this training period, the expertise of the network can be used to warn a
                                       technician of an upcoming breakdown,  before it  occurs and  causes costly  unforeseen
                                       “downtime.”
                                   5.  Engine management: Neural networks have been used  to analyze the input of sensors
                                       from an engine. The neural network controls the various parameters within which the
                                       engine functions, in order to achieve a particular goal, such as minimizing fuel consumption.

                                   5.2.4 Data Mining Application in Customer Segmentation


                                   Businesses  have  become  increasingly  sophisticated in  their  efforts  to  capture  consumer
                                   information, but the process of exploiting consumer information remains relatively immature.
                                   Data mining is a process  that applies the techniques of artificial  intelligence to  the task  of
                                   discovering useful patterns in data, and is proving particularly powerful in the identification of
                                   customers sharing the same characteristics. This segmentation of customers into affinity clusters
                                   presents new possibilities for customer segmentation.
                                   Many segmentation approaches have been devised and each of these has merit.  Experience
                                   suggests that most enterprises use a combination of approaches to deliver maximum benefit.
                                   The ability to deliver sophisticated segmentation techniques to the business enhances the ability




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