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Unit 5: Closed Loop Marketing




          2.   Forecasting classification: For each of the identified segments and desired levels of income  Notes
               forecast (i.e. low, medium, high), a forecasting algorithm is created (i.e. Chaid, RRNN)
               that will determine the probability that a customer belongs to each of the categories.
          3.   Distribution and transformation analysis: Once the probability of  belonging to  each
               level of income for each customer is calculated, a comparison of the income distribution
               over the population will be performed. This income will be calculated with direct methods,
               whose final value has been forecasted by data mining.

          Customer Value Calculation

          The methodological procedure of the customer value calculation is developed by taking into
          account the present positioning of each customer and the future projections derived of  the
          potential increase.

                                   Figure 5.6:  Total  Customer  Value


                 Customer value                            Potential value coming from the
                   based on                                   estimated evolution of the
                                                                    customer
                    actual
                products/services
                with the company












          Source: http://misbridge.mccombs.utexas.edu/knowledge/topics/crm/&docid=AjVlEPe06p17D
          M&imgurl

          From a strategic point of view, the breakdown of the total customer value into the present and
          potential value will allow the definition of differential commercial strategies.
          There are two variants in the potential value calculation: complete and derived, understanding
          that derived is the value of the customer, also considering the possible risk of attrition.

               !
             Caution The final component  in any data mining  algorithm is the data  management
             strategy; the ways in which the data are stored, indexed, and accessed.




              Task  Explain the applicability of data mining techniques.


          Self Assessment

          Fill in the blanks:
          6.   Data mining expectations need to be …………………….

          7.   Neural networks are non …………………….


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