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Unit 3: Planning and Decision-making




                    memory, especially in a short period of time, some of the information (often that  Notes
                    received early on) will be pushed out.


                           Example: A manger spent a day at an information-heavy seminar. At the
                    end of the day, he was not only unable to remember the first half of the seminar but
                    he had also forgotten where he parked his car that morning.
               (c)  Selective use of the information will occur. That is, the decision-maker will choose
                    from  among  all  the  information  available  only  those  facts  which  support  a
                    preconceived solution or position.
               (d)  Mental fatigue occurs, which results in slower work or poor quality work.

               (e)  Decision fatigue occurs, where the decision-maker tires of making decisions. Often
                    the result is  fast, careless  decisions or even decision paralysis–no decisions  are
                    made at all.
               The quantity of information that can be processed by the human mind is limited. Unless
               information is consciously selected, processing will be biased toward the first part of the
               information  received.  After  that,  the  mind  tires  and  begins  to  ignore  subsequent
               information or forget earlier information.

          3.   Decision Streams: A common misconception about decision-making is that decisions are
               made  in isolation from each  other: you gather information,  explore alternatives,  and
               make a choice, without regard to anything that has gone before. The fact is, decisions are
               made in a context of other decisions. The typical metaphor used to explain this is that of a
               stream. There is a stream of decisions surrounding a given decision, many decisions made
               earlier have led up to this decision and made it both possible and limited. Many other
               decisions will follow from it.
               Another way to describe this situation is to say that most decisions involve a choice from
               a group of preselected alternatives, made available to us from the universe of alternatives
               by the previous decisions we have made. Previous decisions have "activated" or "made
               operable" certain alternatives and "deactivated" or "made inoperable" others.


                 Example:
          (a)  When you decide to go to the park, your decision has been enabled by many previous
               decisions. You had to decide to live near the park; you had to decide to buy a car or learn
               about bus routes, and so on. And your previous decisions have constrained your subsequent
               ones: you can't decide to go to a park this afternoon if it is three states away. By deciding
               to live where you do, you have both enabled and disabled a whole series of other decisions.
          (b)  When you enter a store to buy a VCR or TV, you are faced with the preselected alternatives
               stocked by the store. There may be 200 models available in the universe of models, but
               you will be choosing from, say, only a dozen. In this case, your decision has been constrained
               by the decisions made by others about which models to carry.
          We might say, then, that every decision (1) follows from previous decisions, (2) enables many
          future decisions,  and (3) prevents other future decisions. People who have trouble making
          decisions are sometimes trapped by the constraining nature of decision-making. Every decision
          you make precludes other decisions, and therefore might be said to cause a loss of freedom.
          However, just as making a decision causes a loss of freedom, it also creates new freedom, new
          choices and new possibilities. So making a decision is liberating as well as constraining. And a
          decision left unmade will often result in a decision by default or a decision being made for you.





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