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Unit 3: Planning and Decision-making




               How does bounded rationality work for  the typical individual? Once  the problem  is  Notes
               identified, the search for criteria and alternatives begins. But the list of criteria is likely to
               be far from exhaustive. The decision-maker will identify a limited  list made up of  the
               more conspicuous choices. Once this limited set of alternatives is identified, the decision-
               maker will begin reviewing them. But the review will not be comprehensive. That is, not
               all alternatives  will be  carefully  evaluated.  The  decision-maker  proceeds  to  review
               alternatives only  until he or she  identifies  an  alternative that  satisfies –  one that  is
               satisfactory and sufficient. So the satisficer settles for the first solution that is "good enough",
               rather than continuing to search for the optimum. The first alternative to meet the 'good
               enough 'criterion ends the search. The Figure 3.3 below illustrates the satisficing model.
                                   Figure  3.3:  The Satisficing  Model


                 Problem
            Ascertain the need for
                a decision


                                                            A 1
                Prob.           Minimum
                                                            A 2
                                standards
               Simplify            X                        A 3
               problem             Y
                                   Z                   Identify a limited
                                                       set of alternatives
                             Set Satisficing criteria


                                      1.
                                         A 1
                                      2.  A 2
                                                                           Satisficing
                                      3.  A 3                 ?              choice
                                                                     Yes
                                                             Does a       Select the first
                                      Compare alternatives  satisficing   "good enough"
                                      one at a time, against  alternative    choice
                                      the satisficing criteria  exist?


                                                            A 4
                                                            A 5


                                                         Expand search
                                                         for alternatives

          Source: Stephen P Robbins "Organisational Behaviour – Concepts, Controversies, Application", Prentice Hall,
          Englewood Cliffs, NJ 07632 (Seventh Edition) 1996 page  151.
               Bounded rationality assumes that managers satisfice; that is, they select the first alternative
               that is "good enough", because the costs of optimizing in terms of time and effort are too
               great. Further, the theory assumes that managers develop shortcuts called heuristics, to
               make decisions in order to save mental activity. Heuristics are rules of thumb that allow
               manager to make decisions based on what has worked in past experiences. According to
               March and Simon, it is often too inefficient or too costly to make optimal decisions in
               organisations. For example, while selecting a new employee, the organisation can just
               hire the first applicant who meets all the minimum requirements instead of wasting time


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