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Unit 3: Planning and Decision-making




          action. During this step, a thorough "what if" analysis should also be conducted to determine the  Notes
          various factors that could influence the outcome. It is important to generate a wide range of
          options and  creative solutions in  order  to  be  able to  move on to  the  next step.  Therefore,
          managers should encourage people to develop different solutions for the same problem. The
          ability to develop alternatives is as important as making a right decision among alternatives.
          The development of alternatives is a creative, innovative activity. It calls for divergent thinking;
          it calls for "systems thinking". In other words, managers should try to seek solutions outside the
          present realm of their knowledge; they are forced to look into all the relevant factors before
          coming up with a novel solution.
          Fourth Step: Next, the manager selects  the alternative that best meets the decision objective.
          If the problem has been diagnosed correctly and sufficient alternatives have been identified, this
          step is much easier. Peter Drucker has offered the following four criteria for making the right
          choice among available alternatives:

          1.   The manager has to weigh the risks of each course of action against the expected gains.
          2.   The alternative that will give the greatest output for the least inputs in terms of material
               and human resources is obviously the best one to be selected.

          3.   If the situation has great urgency, the best alternative is one that dramatizes the decision
               and serves notice on the organisation  that something  important is happening. On the
               other hand, if consistent effort is needed, a slow start that gathers momentum may be
               preferable.

          4.   Physical, financial and human resources impose a limitation on the choice of selection. Of
               these, the  most important resources whose limitations have  to be considered are  the
               human beings who will carry out the decision.

          Final Step: Finally, the solution is implemented. The manager must seek feedback regarding
          the effectiveness of the implanted solutions. Feedback allows managers to become aware of the
          recent problems associated with the solution. It permits managers to monitor the effects of their
          acts to gauge their success. They can evaluate their own decision-making abilities. Consistent
          monitoring and periodic feedback is an essential part of the follow-up process.



              Task   Discuss an occasion where you had to make a decision on your own? Were  you
             happy with your decision-making process?

          3.8 Styles of Decision-making

          The success of any organisation depends on managers' abilities to make effective decisions. An
          effective decision is a timely decision that meets a desired objective and is acceptable to those
          individuals affected by it. The following Models of Decision-making are explained here below:

          1.   Rational Economic Model
          2.   Bounded Rationality Model or Satisficing Model
          3.   Optimizing Decision-Making Model
          4.   The Garbage Can Model

          5.   The Implicit Favourite Model
          6.   The Intuitive Model.





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