Page 151 - DMGT521_PROJECT_MANAGEMENT
P. 151

Project Management




                    Notes          Cost of equity = Yield on long term bonds + Risk premium
                                   The logic of this approach is fairly simple. Firms that have risky and consequently high cost debt
                                   will also have risky and consequently high cost equity. So it makes sense to base the cost of
                                   equity on a readily observable cost of debt.
                                   The problem with this approach is how to determine the risk premium. Should it be 2 percent,
                                   4 percent, or n percent? There seems to be no objective way of determining it. Most analysts look
                                   at the operating and financial risks of the business and arrive at a subjectively determined risk
                                   premium that normally ranges between 2 percent and 6 percent. While this approach may not
                                   produce a precise cost of equity, it will give a reasonable ballpark estimate.
                                   Earnings-Price Ratio Approach

                                   According to this approach, the cost of equity is equal to:
                                                                      E  / P
                                                                       l   0
                                   Where    E  =  expected earnings per share for the next year
                                            l
                                           P  =  current market price per share
                                           0
                                   E  may be estimated as: (Current earnings per share) × (1 + growth rate of earnings per share).
                                    l
                                   This approach provides an accurate measure of the rate of return required by equity investors in
                                   the following two cases:

                                   1.  When the earnings per share are expected to remain constant and the dividend payout
                                       ratio is 100 percent.
                                   2.  When retained earnings are expected to earn a rate of return equal to the rate of return
                                       required by equity investors.
                                   3.  The first case is rarely encountered in real life and the second case  is also somewhat
                                       unrealistic. Hence, the earnings-price ratio should not be used indiscriminately as the
                                       measure of the cost of equity capital.

                                   9.5.3 Determining the Proportions

                                   For calculating the WACC we need information on the cost of various sources of capital and the
                                   proportions (or weights) applicable to them. So far we discussed how to calculate the cost of
                                   specific sources of capital. We now look at how the weights should be established.
                                   The appropriate weights are the target capital structure weights stated in market value terms.
                                   What is the rationale for using the target capital structure? What is the logic for using market
                                   values?
                                   The primary reason for using the target capital structure is that the current capital culture may
                                   not reflect the capital structure that is expected to prevail in future or the capital structure the
                                   firm plans to have in future. While it is conceptually appealing to rely the target capital structure,
                                   there may be some difficulties in using the target capital structure. A company may not have a
                                   well defined target capital structure. Perhaps the changing complexion of its business or the
                                   changing conditions in the capital market may be it difficult for the company to articulate its
                                   target capital structure. Further, if the target capital structure is significantly different from the
                                   current capital structure, it may difficult to estimate what the component capital costs would be.
                                   Notwithstanding these difficulties, finance experts generally recommend that the weights must
                                   be based on the target capital structure.







          146                               LOVELY PROFESSIONAL UNIVERSITY
   146   147   148   149   150   151   152   153   154   155   156