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Project Management




                    Notes          is one and it is called the rule of 72. According to this rule of thumb the doubling period is
                                   obtained by dividing 72 by the interest rate. For example, if the interest rate is 8 percent, the
                                   doubling period is about 9 years (72/8). Likewise, if the interest rate is 4 percent the doubling
                                   period is about 18 years (72/4). Though somewhat crude, it is a handy and useful rule of thumb.

                                   9.4.2 Present Value of a Single Amount

                                   The process of discounting, used for calculating the  present value,  is simply the inverse of
                                   compounding.  The present  value formula  can  be  readily  obtained  by  manipulating  the
                                   compounding formula:

                                                                  FV  = PV (1 + r) n
                                                                    n
                                                                   n
                                   Dividing both the sides of Eq. by (1 + r) , we get:
                                                                                n
                                                                PV = FV  [1/1 (1 + r) ]
                                                                       n
                                                   n
                                   The factor 1/1(1 + r)  in Eq. (7.3) is called the discounting factor or the Present Value interest
                                   factor (PVIF ).
                                            rn
                                          Example: What is the present value of   1,000 receivable 6 years hence if the rate of
                                   discount is 10 percent?
                                   The present value is:

                                                       1,000 × PVIF, 10%, 6 =   1,000 (0.5645) =   564.5
                                   Present Value of an Uneven Series


                                   In financial analysis we often come across uneven cash flow streams.
                                   For example, the cash flow stream associated with a  capital investment  project is  typically
                                   uneven. Likewise, the dividend stream associated with an equity share is usually uneven and
                                   perhaps growing.
                                   The present value of a cash flow stream uneven or even may be calculated with the help of the
                                   following  formula:
                                                A      A     A            A
                                          PV     1    2     3   + ….. +   n  n
                                            n
                                                                          
                                               (1+r) 1  (1+r) 2  (1+r) 3  (1 r)
                                   where  PV = present value of a cash flow stream
                                            n
                                          A   = cash flow occurring at the end of year t
                                           t
                                          r   = discount rate
                                          n   = duration of the cash flow stream

                                   Future Value of Annuity

                                   An annuity is a stream of constant cash flow (payment or receipt) occurring at regular intervals
                                   of time. The premium payments of a life insurance policy,


                                          Example:  In  general terms the future value of an annuity  is given  by the  following
                                   formula:
                                                       n-1
                                                                n-2
                                          FVA = A (1+r)  + A (1+r)  + ... +A
                                              n
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