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Unit 9: Financial Estimates and Projections




          In calculating the weights for the target capital structure, should one use book (balance t) values  Notes
          or market values. It is tempting to use the book value weights because they easy to calculate,
          they are available for every company (whether it is traded or not), they are fairly stable.
          Finance scholars, however, believe that market values, despite their volatility, are superior to
          book values, because in order to justify its valuation the firm must earn competitive returns for
          shareholders and debt holders on the current value (market value) their investments.

          9.5.4 Weighted Marginal Cost of Capital

          At the outset we assumed, inter alia, that the adoption of new investment proposals will not
          change either the risk complexion or the capital structure of the firm. Does it mean that  the
          weighted average cost of capital will remain the same irrespective of the magnitude of financing?
          Apparently not. Generally, the weighted average cost of capital tends to rise as the firm seeks
          more and more capital. This may happen because the supply schedule of capital is typically
          upward sloping as suppliers provide more capital, the rate of return required by them tends to
          increase. A schedule or graph showing the relationship between additional financing and the
          weighted average cost of capital is called the weighted marginal cost of capital schedule.


          Factors Affecting the Weighted Average Cost of Capital
          The cost of capital is affected by several factors, some beyond the control of the firm and others
          dependent on the investment and financing policies of the firm.

          Factors Outside a Firm’s Control

          The three most important factors, outside a firm’s direct control, that have a bearing on the cost
          of capital are the level of interest rates, the market risk premium, and the tax rate:
          1.   Level of Interest Rates: If interest  rates in the  economy rise, the  cost of debt to firms
               increases and vice versa. Interest rates also have a similar bearing on the cost of preference
               and cost of equity. Remember that the risk free rate of interest is an important component
               of the CAPM, a model widely used for estimating the cost of equity. The general decline
               in interest rates in India from late 1990s to 2004 has lowered the cost of debt as well as the
               cost of equity.

          2.   Market Risk Premium: The  market risk  premium reflects  the perceived risk of  equity
               stocks and investor  aversion to  risk. A factor beyond  the control  of individual  firms,
               market risk premium affects the cost of equity directly and  the cost of debt indirectly
               (through a substitution effect).
          3.   Tax Rates: The tax policy of the government has a bearing on cost of capital. Corporate tax
               rate has a direct impact on the cost of debt as used in the weighted average cost of capital.
               The capital gains tax rate relative to the rate on ordinary income has indirect effect on the
               cost of equity relative to the cost of debt.

          Factors within a Firm’s Control

          The cost of capital of a firm is affected by its investment policy, capital structure policy and
          dividend policy:
          1.   Investment Policy: To estimate the cost of capital, we start with the rates of required on the
               outstanding equity and debt of the firm. These rates reflect how risky firm’s existing assets
               are. If a firm plans to invest in assets similar to those currently then its marginal cost of




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