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Unit 9: Financial Estimates and Projections




          Due to the above mentioned limitations of the census survey, the market survey, in practice, is  Notes
          typically a sample survey. In such a survey a sample of population is contacted or observed and
          relevant  information  is gathered.  On the  basis of  such  information,  inferences  about  the
          population may be drawn.
          The information sought in a market survey may relate to one or more of the following:

          1.   Total demand and rate of growth of demand
          2.   Demand in different segments of the market
          3.   Income and price elasticities of demand
          4.   Motives for buying

          5.   Purchasing plans and intentions
          6.   Satisfaction with existing products
          7.   Unsatisfied needs
          8.   Attitudes toward various products

          9.   Distributive trade practices and preferences
          10.  Socio-economic characteristics of buyers

          Steps in a Sample Survey

          Typically, a sample survey consists of the following steps:
          Define the Target Population: In defining the target population the important terms should be
          carefully and unambiguously defined. The target population may be divided into  various
          segments which may have differing characteristics. For example, all television owners may be
          divided into three to four income brackets.
          Select the Sampling Scheme and Sample Size: There are several sampling schemes: simple random
          sampling, cluster sampling, sequential sampling, stratified sampling, systematic sampling, and
          non probability sampling. Each scheme has its advantages  and limitations. The sample size,
          other things being equal, has a bearing on the reliability of the estimates – larger the sample
          size, the greater the reliability.
          Develop the Questionnaire: The questionnaire is the principal instrument for eliciting information
          from the sample of respondents. The effectiveness of the questionnaire as a vice for eliciting the
          desired information depends on its length,  the types  of questions, and the wording of  the
          questions. Developing the questionnaire requires a thorough understanding of the product and
          service and its usage, imagination, insights into human behavior, appreciation of subtle linguistic
          nuances, and familiarity with the tools of descriptive inferential statistics to be used later for
          analysis. It also requires knowledge of psychological scaling techniques if the same are employed
          for obtaining information relating to attitudes, motivations, and psychological traits. Industry
          and trade market surveys, in comparison to consumer surveys, generally involve more technical
          and specialised questions.
          Since the quality of the questionnaire has an important bearing on the results of the market
          survey, the questionnaire should be tried out in a pilot survey and modified in the light of
          problems/difficulties noted.
          Recruit and Train the Field Investigators: Recruiting and training of field investigators must be
          planned well since it can be time consuming. Great care must be taken in recruiting right kind
          of  investigators and imparting the proper kind of training  to them. Instigators involved in




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