Page 256 - DECO402_MACROECONOMIC_THEORY_HINDI

lef"V&vFkZ'kkL=k osQ fl¼kar

uksV lSE;wYlu dk ijLij fozQ;k ekWMy

fLFkfr ewY; pØ dk O;kikj

1- a = .5, b = 0 pØghu iFk
2- a = .5, b = 1 ifjeafnr mrkj&p<+ko

3- a = .5, b = 2 fLFkj foLrkj osQ mrkj&p<+ko
4- a = .5, b = 3 foLiQksVkRed pØ

5- a = .5, b = 4 pØghu foLiQksVkRed iFk

fLFkfr 3 fLFkj foLrkj (constant amplitudes) okys pØksa dks O;Dr djrh gS] tks Lo;a osQ xq.k&Lrj osQ fxnZ
ckj&ckj ?kwers gSaA ;g fLFkfr fp=k 24-2 (C) esa fn[kkbZ x;h gSA
fLFkfr 4 izfr&ifjeafnr (anti-damped) vFkok foLiQksVkRed pØksa (explosive cycles) dks izdV djrh gSA
blosQ fy, nsf[k, fp=k 24-2 (D)A

fLFkfr 5 pØghu foLiQksVkRed Åij tkrk iFk (Cycleless explosive upward path) ls lacaèk j[krh gS] tks
varr% o`f¼ dh pØo`f¼ C;kt nj rd igq¡p tkrh gS] tSlk fp=k 24-2 (E) esa fn[kk;k x;k gSA
ftu ik¡p fLFkfr;ksa dh Åij O;k[;k dh xbZ gS] muesa ls osQoy rhu fLFkfr;ksa] ua- 2] 3] vkSj 4 dh gh izÑfr
pØh; gSA ijarq mUgsa ?kVkdj osQoy nks gh j[k yh tk ldrh gSa D;ksafd fLFkj foLrkj ls lacaèk j[kus okyh fLFkfr
ua- 3 vuqHko esa ugha vkbZ gSA tgk¡ rd ifjeafnr pØksa dh fLFkfr ua- 2 dk lacaèk gS] ;s ;|fi fu;fer :i ls
rks ugha] ij fiNyh vkèkh 'krkCnh esa èkhesa :i ls ?kfVr gksrh jgh gSaA ¶lkekU;r% ;q¼dkyhu vofèk osQ eqdkcys
;q¼ksÙkj vofèk esa pØ vis{kkÑr ifjeafnr jgs gSaA¸ os ifj.kke gSa ¶,sls >Vdksa osQµftUgsa vO;ofLFkr >VosQ
(erratic shocks) dgk tk ldrk gSµtks ,sls cfgtkZr lkèkuksa ls mRiUu gksrs gSa] tSls ;q¼] iQlyksa esa ifjorZu]
vkfo"dkj] bR;kfn ftuosQ ¶i;kZIr fLFkjrk ls vkus dh vk'kk dh tk ldrh gSA¸ ijarq muosQ ifjek.k dks ekiuk
laHko ughaA
foLiQksVkRed pØksa dh fLFkfr ua- 4 vrhr (past) esa ugha feyrhA mu pØksa osQ vHkko dk dkj.k mu cfgtkZr
vk£Fkd lkèkuksa dk ifj.kke gS] tks mrkj&p<+ko dks lhfer djrs gSaA ij fgDl us ewY;ksa dh ekU;rk ysdj O;kikj
pØ dk ekWMy fu£er fd;k gS] tks f'k[kjksa rFkk ryksa }kjk fu;af=kr O;kikj pØksa dk izfriknu djrk gSA

leh{kkRed ewY;kadu (Critical Appraisal)

xq.kd rFkk Rojd dh ijLij fØ;k dk cgqr cM+k xq.k ;g gS fd ;g vosQys xq.kd vFkok Rojd dh rqyuk esa
jk"Vªh; vk; dks cgqr vfèkd rsth ls c<+krh gSA ;g u osQoy O;kikj&pØksa dh O;k[;k osQ fy, cfYd fLFkjhdj.k
uhfr (stabilisation policy) osQ ekxZn'kZd osQ :i esa Hkh ,d mi;ksxh vkStkj gSA tSlk izks- oqQfjgkjk us y{;
fd;k gS]¸ lhekar miHkksx izo`fÙk (,d ls de gksus) dh èkkj.kk ij vkèkkfjr xq.kd fo'ys"k.k ls feydj gh
Rojd fu;e O;kikj pØ fo'ys"k.k osQ mi;skxh vkStkj osQ :i es rFkk O;kikj pØ uhfr osQ ykHknk;d ekxZ n'kZd
osQ :i esa dke djrk gSA¸ xq.kd rFkk Rojd bdV~Bs feydj pØh; mrkj&p<+ko mRiUu djrs gSaA Rojd dk ewY;
(b) ftruk gh vfèkd gksxk] foLiQksVkRed pØ dh laHkkouk Hkh mruh gh vfèkd gksxhA xq.kd dk ewY; (a)
ftruk gh vfèkd gksxk] pØghu iFk dh laHkkouk mruh gh vfèkd gksxhA ge izks- ,LVs (Prof. Estey) osQ lkFk
lger gksrs gq, fu"d"kZ :i esa dg ldrs gSaµ¶xq.kd rFkk Rojd dk la;ksx pØh; mrkj&p<+ko mRiUu djus dh
{kerk j[krk izrhr gksrk gSA vosQyk xq.kd fdlh Hkh fn, gq, izksRlkgu ls dksbZ pØ ugha mRiUu djrk cfYd vk;

250 LOVELY PROFESSIONAL UNIVERSITY