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Statistical Methods in Economics


                   Notes          Regression of X on Y :

                                  The line of regression of X on Y using its regression coefficient is :
                                                        (  −  ) XX =  YX ( b  YY ) −                         ... (ii)


                                                                  Σ NXY  ( −  )Σ  (  Y )ΣX
                                  Here,                    b YX  =   Σ NY 2  ( −  Y )Σ  2


                                                                          ×
                                                                 5 ×  − 214 30 40  1070  − 1200  130
                                                               =           2  =           =  −    = – 1.30
                                                                 5  ×   ( − 340  )40  1700  − 1600  100
                                                           b
                                  Putting the value of  X ,  Y  and  YX  in equation (ii), the line of regression of X and Y becomes
                                                         (X – 6) = – 1.30 (Y – 8) or X = 6 – 1.30 Y + 10.4
                                  or                  X + 1.30 Y = 16.4
                                  which is also the same as obtained in example 1.
                                  Remark
                                  The two expression lines can be obtained by any of the above two methods if the values of the pairs
                                  of observations are not very large. However, when the data are large, short cut method for computing
                                  regression coefficient should be applied to avoid huge calculations. Calculations are further reduced if the
                                  deviations of the two variables are taken from their respective means, i.e., when  Σd  and  Σd  are
                                                                                                             y
                                                                                                     x
                                  zero. In this case, the regression coefficients  YX  and  XY  are obtained by using formula (7) and (14). The
                                                                          b
                                                                   b
                                  example will on the next page clarify the point.
                                  Example 3:  On the basis of following data, obtain regressions of (i) Y on X and (ii) X on Y.
                                        X          15         27         27         30         38        46
                                        Y          12         15         15         18         22        26

                                  Solution:
                                                          Calculation for regression equations

                                       X      d  = (X – 30)  d 2        Y     d  = (Y – 18)  d 2       d d
                                               x              x                y              y         x y

                                       15        – 15       225         12       – 6         36         90
                                       27        – 3         9          15       – 3         9           9
                                       27        – 3         9          15       – 3         9           9
                                       30         0          0          18        0          0           0
                                       38         8          64         22        4          16         32
                                       46         16        256         26        8          64         128
                                                                                            2
                                                            2
                                     N = 6      Σd  = 3   Σd  = 563            Σd  = 0    Σd  = 134  Σdd  = 228
                                                                                 y
                                                                                                      x y
                                                                                            y
                                                  x
                                                            x
                                                                     Σ X            Σ Y
                                                                                     d
                                                                      d
                                              Thus,           X =  A  +  N   ;  Y  =  B  +  N


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