Page 367 - DECO504_STATISTICAL_METHODS_IN_ECONOMICS_HINDI

bdkbZ—25% py&ekè; dh jhfr

o"kZ : 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 uksV
ewY; : 506 620 1036 673 588 696 116 738 663
(B.Com., Pass, Delhi 1988)
gy (Solution): pkj o"khZ; py&ekè;ksa dk ifjx.ku

o"kZ ewY; pkj&o"khZ; ;qXeksa osQ pkj&o"khZ; py ekè;
py ;ksx py ;ksx (Col. iv ÷ 8)
(i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v)
1975 506
1976 620
→ 2835
1977 1036 → 5752 719.0
→ 2917
1978 673 → 5910 738.8
→ 2993
1979 588 → 6066 758.3
→ 3073
1980 696 → 6211 776.4
→ 3138
1981 1116 → 6351 793.9
→ 3213
1982 738
1983 663

25-4 py&ekè;ksa dh fo'ks"krk,¡ (Characteristics of Moving Average)

izo`fÙk fo'ys"k.k osQ lanHkZ esa py ekè;ksa dh fuEu fo'ks"krk;sa mYys[kuh; gSaμ
(1) py ekè; dky&Js.kh dh ljfyr izo`fÙk dks O;Dr djrs gSaA iQyr% buls fu;fer o vfu;fer nksuksa
izdkj osQ vYidkfyd mPpkopuksa dk foyksiu ;k fujlu (elimination) gks tkrk gSA
(2) ;fn ewy&lead mPpkopu jfgr gSa rks muosQ py&ekè; Hkh fcYoqQy ogh gksaxs vFkkZr~ ewy leadksa rFkk
py&ekè;ksa dh ,d gh ljy js[kk vafdr gksxhA
(3) py ekè; oØjs[kh; izo`fÙk (curvi-linear trend) dh oØrk dks de dj nsrs gSaaA ;fn ewy&leadksa dk
oØ vory (concave) gS rks py ekè; dk oØ blls uhps gksxk vkSj ewy oØ mÙky (convex) gksus
ij og mlls Åij gksxkA gk¡! py ekè; vofèk yEch gksxh mldk oØ ewy oØ ls mruk gh nwj gksxkA

py ekè; vfu;fer ;k nSo mPpkopuksa dks i`Fkd (isolate) ugha dj ikrs] mUgsa
osQoy de dj ldrs gSaA

py ekè; jhfr osQ xq.k
(1) miufr Kkr djus dh ;g jhfr le>us rFkk iz;ksx dh n`f"V ls vR;kfèkd ljy gSA
(2) blls izkIr ifj.kke ifj'kq¼ gksrs gSaA

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