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Unit 14: Theoretical Probability Distributions



                                                                                                  Notes
                   Example 10: The following data give the number of seeds germinating (X) out of 10 on
            damp filter for 80 sets of seed. Fit a binomial distribution to the data.
                            X   : 0   1   2    3  4 5 6 7 8 9 10
                             f  : 6 20 28 12 8 6 0 0 0 0              0

            Solution.

            Here the random variable X denotes the number of seeds germinating out of a set of 10 seeds.
            The total number of trials n = 10.
            The mean of the given data

                                  ´
                               +
                          0 6 1 20 2 28 3 12 4 8 5 6               174
                           ´
                                      +
                                                        ´
                                                           +
                                                              ´
                                                     +
                                         ´
                                             +
                                                 ´
                      X =                                         =     = 2.175
                                            80                      80
            Since  mean  of  a  binomial  distribution  is  np,    np  =  2.175.  Thus,  we  get
                2.175
            p =      =  0.22 (approx.). Further, q = 1 - 0.22 = 0.78.
                 10
            Using these  values,  we  can compute  P X a f = C a 0.22f a 0.78f 10- X
                                                             X
                                                   10
                                                      X                  and  then  expected
            frequency [= N × P(X)] for X = 0, 1, 2, ...... 10. The calculated probabilities and the respective
            expected frequencies are shown in the following table :
                                    Approximated                         Approximated
                                                                    ( )
                                                         ( )
                               ( )
                     ( )
                X   P X   N P X                    X    P X    N P X
                                                                 ´
                            ´
                                       Frequency                            Frequency
                0  0.0834     6.67        6        6   0.0088    0.71         1
                1  0.2351   18.81        19        7   0.0014    0.11         0
                2  0.2984   23.87        24        8   0.0001    0.01         0
                3  0.2244   17.96        18        9   0.0000    0.00         0
                4  0.1108    8.86         9        10  0.0000    0.00         0
                5  0.0375    3.00         3      Total  1.0000                80
            14.1.4 Features of Binomial Distribution
            1.   It is a discrete probability distribution.
            2.   It depends upon two parameters n and p. It may be pointed out that a  distribution is
                 known if the values of its parameters are known.
            3.   The total  number of possible values of the random variable are n + 1.  The  successive
                                      n   n    n       n                n     n
                 binomial coefficients are  C ,  C ,  C , ....  C . Further, since  C =   C  ,  these
                                        0    1   2       n                r     n- r
                 coefficients are symmetric.
                 The values of these coefficients, for various values of n, can be obtained directly by using
                 Pascal's  triangle.
                                           Pascal's  Triangle









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