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Statistics



                      Notes         14.3 Pascal Distribution


                                    In binomial distribution, we derived the probability mass function of the number of successes in
                                    n (fixed) Bernoulli trials. We can also derive the probability mass function of the number of
                                    Bernoulli trials needed to get r (fixed) successes. This distribution is known as Pascal distribution.
                                    Here r and p become parameters while n becomes a random variable.

                                    We may note that r successes can be  obtained in  r or more trials  i.e.  possible values of  the
                                    random variable are r, (r + 1), (r + 2), ...... etc. Further, if n trials are required to get r successes, the
                                    nth trial must be a success. Thus, we can write the probability mass function of Pascal distribution
                                    as follows:

                                                 æ Probability of  (   r   ) 1  successesö  æ Probability of  a successö
                                          P ( ) n =  ç                        ÷  ´  ç                  ÷
                                                 è           out of  (   n   ) 1  trials  ø  è          in nth trial  ø


                                                                            r n r
                                                             
                                                   =    n 1 C  p r 1 n r  ´  p =    n 1 C  p q    ,  where n = r, (r + 1), (r + 2), ... etc.
                                                           q
                                                      r 1               r 1
                                                                                             r     rq
                                    It can be shown that the mean and variance of Pascal distribution are    and    respectively.
                                                                                             p     p 2
                                    This distribution  is also known as  Negative Binomial Distribution because various values of
                                    P(n) are given by the terms of the binomial expansion of p (1 - q) .
                                                                                         - r
                                                                                    r
                                    14.4 Geometrical Distribution


                                    When r = 1, the Pascal distribution can be written as
                                                P  ( )  n =  n 1 C pq n 1  =  pq n 1 ,   where n =  1,2,3,.....
                                                           0
                                    Here n is a random variable which denotes the number of trials required to get a success. This
                                    distribution is known as geometrical distribution. The mean and variance of the distribution are
                                     1      q
                                        and    respectively.
                                     p     p 2


                                    14.5 Uniform Distribution (Discrete Random Variable)

                                    A discrete random variable is said to follow a uniform distribution if it takes various discrete
                                    values with equal probabilities.
                                                                                              1
                                    If a random variable X takes values X , X , ...... X  each with probability   , the distribution of X
                                                                  1  2     n                  n
                                    is said to be uniform.
                                    14.6 Poisson Distribution


                                    This distribution was derived by a noted mathematician, Simon D. Poisson, in 1837. He derived
                                    this distribution as a limiting case of binomial distribution, when the number of trials n tends to
                                    become very large and the probability of success in a trial p tends to become very small such that
                                    their product np remains a constant. This distribution is used as a model to describe the probability
                                    distribution of a random variable defined over a unit of time, length or space. For example, the
                                    number of telephone calls received per hour at a telephone exchange, the number of accidents in




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