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Statistics                                                     Richa Nandra, Lovely Professional University



                      Notes                Unit 19: The Laws of Large Numbers Compared




                                       CONTENTS

                                       Objectives
                                       Introduction
                                       19.1 Strong Law of Large Numbers
                                       19.2 Summary

                                       19.3 Keywords
                                       19.4 Self Assessment
                                       19.5 Review Questions
                                       19.6 Further Readings




                                    Objectives

                                    After studying this unit, you will be able to:
                                        Discuss the strong law of large number

                                        Discuss examples related to large number
                                    Introduction


                                    Probability Theory includes various theorems known as Laws of Large Numbers; for instance,
                                    see [Fel68, Hea71, Ros89]. Usually two major categories are distinguished: Weak Laws versus
                                    Strong Laws. Within these categories there are numerous subtle variants of differing generally.
                                    Also the Central Limit Theorems are often brought up in this context.
                                    Many introductory  probability texts  treat this topic superficially, and more  than once their
                                    vague formulations are misleading or plainly wrong. In this note, we consider a special case to
                                    clarify the relationship between the Weak and Strong Laws. The reason for doing so is that I
                                    have not been able to find a concise formal exposition all in one place. The material presented
                                    here is certainly not new and was gleaned from many sources.

                                    In the following sections, X1, X2, ... is a sequence of independent and indentically distributed
                                    random variabels with finite expectation  . We define the associated sequence  X  of partial
                                                                                                       i
                                    sample means by
                                                                         1  n
                                                                       i X    X . i
                                                                         n  i 1
                                                                           
                                    The Laws of Large Numbers make statements about the convergence of  X  to m. Both laws
                                                                                                  n
                                    relate bounds on sample size, accuracy of approximation, and degree of confidence. The Weak
                                    Laws deal with limits of probabilities involving  X . The Strong Laws deal with probabilities
                                                                             n
                                    involving limits of  X . Especially the mathematical underpinning of the Strong Laws requires
                                                     n
                                    a caretful approach ([Hea71, Ch. 5] is an accesible presentation).





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