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Statistics



                      Notes         Since this value is less than 1.645, there is no evidence against H  at 5% level of significance.
                                                                                          0
                                    Thus, the sample information  provides no indication that advertisement A is more  effective
                                    than advertisement B.
                                    Remarks:
                                    As in the variable case, we can also test the hypothesis    =   + k. Since      , pooling of
                                                                                    1   2          1  2
                                    proportions is not allowed for the computations of standard error of p  – p . The standard error
                                                                                             1  2
                                    in this case is
                                                          -
                                                -
                                            p  (1 p  )  p  (1 p  )
                                             1    1    2     2
                                                    +
                                               n         n
                                                1         2
                                    31.5 Summary

                                        A hypothesis is a preconceived idea about the nature of a population or about the value of
                                         its parameters. The statements like the distribution of heights of students of a university
                                         is normally distributed, the number of road accidents per day in Delhi is 10, etc., are some
                                         examples of a hypothesis.
                                        The test of a hypothesis is a procedure by which we test the validity of a given statement
                                         about a population. This is done on the basis of a random sample drawn from it.
                                        The hypothesis to be tested is termed as Null Hypothesis, denoted by H . This hypothesis
                                                                                                  0
                                         asserts that there is no difference between population and sample in the matter  under
                                         consideration. For example, if H  is that population  mean  =  , then we regard  the
                                                                    0                          0
                                         random sample to have been obtained from a population with mean m .
                                                                                                   0
                                        Corresponding to any H , we always define an Alternative Hypothesis. This hypothesis,
                                                             0
                                         denoted by H , is alternate to H , i.e., if H is false then H is true and vice-versa.
                                                    a              0       0           a
                                        If the manufacturer claims that the average mileage is more than 40 kms/litre rather than
                                         equal to 40 kms/litre, we have to use a one tailed test. Now we shall test H  :  = 40 against
                                                                                                    0
                                                                                -
                                                                              X 
                                         H  :  > 40 and z would be defined as  z =  .  Since this value is also equal to 4.47
                                           a          cal                 cal
                                                                             s / n
                                         and lies in the critical region, we reject at 5% level of significance. This implies that the
                                         claim of the manufacturer may be taken as correct.
                                        In one tailed tests the alternative hypothesis is expressed as a strict inequality and the null
                                         hypothesis as a weak inequality or simply equality.
                                        The decision rule can also be specified in terms of prob or  p-value of the observed sample
                                         result. The p-value is the smallest level of significance at which the null hypothesis can be
                                         rejected. We define p-value

                                    31.6 Keywords

                                    Hypothesis: A hypothesis is a preconceived idea about the nature of a population or about the
                                    value of its parameters.
                                    Power of a test: The power of a test is defined as the probability of rejecting a false null hypothesis.
                                    Since b is the probability of accepting a false hypothesis,  the power of test is given by 1 - b. More
                                    precisely, we can write
                                    Power of a test = P [Rejecting H /H  is false] = 1 – b
                                                              0  0



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